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. 2019 Jul 12;121(4):312–317. doi: 10.1038/s41416-019-0521-7

Table 3.

Disease-free survival according to treatment arm and CEA level

DFS
3 y % (95% CI) P-value for the interaction term between CEA (≤ 2.35, > 2.35) and Treatment Arm (LV5FU2, FOLFOX)
All N LV5FU2 arm N FOLFOX arm N LV5FU2 arm FOLFOX arm Absolute changed Relative changee HR for treatment effectc (95% CI)
Whole population 899 448 451 84.7 (81.4–88.1) 87.1 (84–90) +2.4 +2.8 0.11
 CEA ≤2.35 664 333 331 88.2 (84.8–91.7) 88.7 (85.4–92.2) +0.5  +0.6 1.07 (0.77–1.47)
 CEA >2.35 203 97 106 76 (67.9–85.1) 81.1 (74–88.9) +5.1 +6.7 0.67 (0.41–1.11)
High-riska population 434 222 212 81.3 (76.2–86.6) 86.3 (81.7–91) +5 +6.1 0.09
 High-risk - CEA ≤2.35 320 158 162 84 (78.4–89.9) 86.3 (81.2–91.8) +2.3 +2.7 0.95 (0.62–1.45)
 High-risk - CEA >2.35 102 55 47 74 (63.2–86.7) 87.2 (78.2–97.3  +13.2 +17.8 0.47 (0.23–0.97)
Low-riskb population 458 223 235 87.9 (83.7–92.3) 88 (83.9–92.3)  +0.1 +0.1 0.78
 Low-risk - CEA ≤2.35 338 172 166 91.8 (87.8–96) 91.5 (87.3–95.8) −0.3 −0.3 1.18 (0.71–1.95)
 Low-risk - CEA >2.35 100 42 58 78.6 (67.1–92) 75.8 (65.6–87.7) −2.8 −3.6 0.99 (0.47–2.10)

Absolute difference at time X gives the difference between percentages observed in the two treatment arms at time X; the relative difference at time X gives the proportion of increase or decrease in survival rate of one arm relative to the other arm at time X

aT4, tumour perforation, or fewer than 10 lymph nodes examined

bT1–3 and no tumour perforation and 10 or more lymph nodes examined

cHR for treatment effect (the addition of oxaliplatin to the LV5FU2 regimen)

dAbsolute difference reflects a comparison of survival between the FOLFOX and LV5FU2 arms

eRelative difference reflects a ratio of the observed survival in the FOLFOX arm and the LV5FU2 arm [(X year OS rate in the FOLFOX group - X year OS rate in

the LV5FU2 group)/(X year OS rate in the LV5FU2 group) *100]