Table 5.
Post-hoc analysis of the strongest 10 predictors of first arrest, controlling for age
| Predictor | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marijuana use (yes vs. no) | 3.43 | [2.45, 4.82] | < .001 |
| Race (youth of color vs. white) | 2.51 | [1.89, 3.34] | < .001 |
| Alcohol use (yes vs. no) | 1.86 | [1.34, 2.59] | < .001 |
| Antisocial attitudes (standardized unit increase) | 1.75 | [1.59, 1.92] | < .001 |
| Academic achievement (standardized unit decrease) | 1.67 | [1.43, 1.95] | < .001 |
| Peer delinquency (standardized unit increase) | 1.38 | [1.24, 1.55] | < .001 |
| Parental supervision (standardized unit decrease) | 1.38 | [1.19, 1.60] | < .001 |
| Neighborhood crime (standardized unit increase) | 1.26 | [1.12, 1.41] | < .001 |
| Socioeconomic status (standardized unit decrease) | 1.23 | [1.42, 1.07] | .004 |
| Parental stress (standardized unit increase) | 1.22 | [1.08, 1.38] | < .001 |
Note. Hazard ratios from Cox proportional hazards models with robust sandwich estimator for standard errors. Details available upon request.