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. 2019 Sep 26;13(9):e0007630. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007630

Table 3. Regression results for dog rabies cases, reported exposures, PEP completions, and human rabies cases, respectively.

Regression 1 Regression 2 Regression 3 Regression 4
Dep. Var: ln(Ri,tD)a Dep. Var: ln(Ei,t) Dep. Var: ln(Pi,t) Dep. Var: Ri,tH
Var. Coef. Var. Coef. Var. Coef. Var. Coef.
ln(Rt-1D) 0.56*** ln(Et−1) 0.07 ln(Et) 0.31 ln(Pit)^ -0.71***
ln(Vt) -0.23 ln(Et−2) -0.86*** ln(RtD) -0.01 ln(RtD) 0.63***
ln(Vt−1) -0.48 ln(RtD) 0.10*** ln(Rt-1D) 0.13** ln(Et) -0.27
ln(Vt−2) -0.31** ln(Rt-1D) 0.09*** ln(Rt-1H) 0.03** ln(Htu) -0.36
ln(Dt) -0.83 ln(Rt-1H) 0.02* ln(Htu) -2.87** ln(Htr) -0.21
ln(Dt−1) -1.73** ln(t) 1.28*** ln(Htr) 1.02 BMP 1.36***
Const. 30.1*** ln(Dt) -0.02 ln(It) 2.05*** Const. 12.3***
ln(Htu) -5.86*** ln(Xt) 1.72*** αc 0.05**
ln(Htr) -1.10 ln(Ot) -0.81***
Const. 85.4*** Const. -0.28
N = 60b, χ2 = 6597 N = 39, χ2 = 99.1 N = 67, R2 = 0.59 N = 67, R2 = 0.27

***p<0.01,

**p<0.05,

*p<0.1

aRD = Dog Rabies Cases, V = Dog Vaccinations, D = Dog Population, E = Reported Exposures, RH = Human Rabies Cases, Hu = Urban Population, Hr = Rural Population, P = PEP Completions, I = [per capita] Income, X = Health Expenditures, O = Out of Pocket [health expenditures], and BMP = indicator variable for Brazil, Mexico, Peru. See Table 1 for descriptions.

bReported sample sizes are different from summary statistics in Table 2 because of missing values for some variables, and because the use of lagged variables decreases the number of observations available for the dependent variable in initial time periods.

cParameter α is the dispersion parameter for the Negative Binomial regression.