Figure 5.

Response of tick-based risk measures to increasing temperature, as percent of control (w = 0, historical temperature). (a) Number of infected nymphs per day averaged over the last year of the simulation, scaled by the same quantity for w = 0 (no temperature rise), i.e., av(NI₂)_w=i/av(NI₂)_w=0, i=0,1,…, 6. (b) Number of infected adults per day (averaged and scaled to w = 0), i.e., av(NA₂)_w=i/av(NA₂)_w=0, i=0,1,…, 6. (c) Percent nymphs infected (averaged and scaled to w = 0), i.e., av(NI₂/(NU₂+NI₂))_w=i/av(NI₂/(NU₂+NI₂))_w=0, i=0,  1,…, 6. (d) Percent adults infected (averaged and scaled to w = 0), i.e., av(AI₂/(AU₂+AI₂))_w=i/av(AI₂/(AU₂+AI₂))_w=0, i=0,  1,…, 6.