Table 3.
Proxy measure | Shape parameter | Mean (days) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate a | 95% CI b | Estimate a | 95% CI b | |
Latent period (days) | ||||
Skin lesions | 25.4 | (4.8, 82.7) | 7.3 | (5.9, 9.7) |
Blood (PCR) | 3.4 | (1.6, 6.4) | 5.8 | (4.4, 7.8) |
Blood (VI) | 5.7 | (1.8, 13.6) | 8.1 | (5.9, 12.1) |
Infectious period (days) | ||||
Skin lesions | 10.4 | (2.1, 36.1) | 23.1 | (16.4, 36.2) |
Blood (PCR) | 3.1 | (1.1, 7.1) | 16.3 | (11.4, 25.4) |
Blood (VI) | 2.6 | (0.7, 6.7) | 8.8 | (5.5, 17.8) |
Posterior median.
CI: credible interval.