Table 4.
Attributable fraction of mortality and annual attributable death counts (with 95% empirical confidence intervals) of cold and hot effects (nonoptimum temperatures) for urban and rural counties in Zhejiang Province, 2009–2015.
| Cause-specific mortality and subgroups | Attributable fraction of mortality (%) | Attributable death counts (cases/year) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cold effects (temperature below MMT) | Hot effects (temperature above MMT) | Cold effects (temperature below MMT) | Hot effects (temperature above MMT) | |||||
| Urban | Rural | Urban | Rural | Urban | Rural | Urban | Rural | |
| All cause | 7.0 (3.9, 10.1) | 16.4 (14.9, 17.9) | 0.8 (0.4, 1.2) | 0.9 (0.7, 1.1) | 6,741 (3,739; 9,684) | 32,801 (29,765; 35,758) | 748 (384; 1,151) | 1,878 (1,398; 2,197) |
| Nonaccidental | 7.5 (4.1, 10.7) | 17.6 (15.9, 19.1) | 0.7 (0.2, 1.2) | 0.9 (0.7, 1.1) | 6,556 (3,598; 9,390) | 31,540 (28,494; 34,228) | 606 (176; 1,053) | 1631 (1,254; 1,971) |
| Age 0–64 | 4.7 (, 11.4) | 10.6 (6.4, 14.5) | 0.1 (, 0.7) | 0.1 (, 0.3) | 870 (, 2101) | 4,967 (2,990; 6,775) | 24 (, 129) | 37 (, 140) |
| Age | 10.7 (4.3, 16.3) | 19.6 (17.7, 21.1) | 0.6 (, 1.2) | 1.0 (0.7, 1.2) | 7,398 (2,981; 11,301) | 33,368 (30,210; 36,014) | 416 (, 832) | 1639 (1195, 2048) |
| Males | 10.1 (3.5, 15.8) | 16.9 (15.0, 19.0) | 0.4 (, 1.0) | 0.6 (0.3, 0.8) | 4,979 (1,729; 7,804) | 20,994 (18,634; 23,603) | 212 (, 494) | 683 (373, 994) |
| Females | 7.6 (2.5, 12.3) | 18.5 (16.0, 20.8) | 0.9 (, 1.8) | 1.1 (0.9, 1.4) | 2,900 (959; 4,719) | 17,257 (14,909; 19,381) | 326 (, 691) | 1,062 (839; 1,305) |
| Cardiopulmonary | 9.6 (5.4, 13.1) | 22.1 (19.8, 24.1) | 1.0 (0.2, 1.8) | 1.2 (0.9, 1.4) | 4,257 (2,405; 5,834) | 21,197 (18,999; 23,125) | 450 (89, 802) | 1103 (864; 1,343) |
| Respiratory | 8.1 (4.5, 11.5) | 22.1 (18.2, 25.8) | 0.9 (, 2.2) | 1.4 (1.0, 1.8) | 1,174 (655; 1,673) | 7,160 (5,888; 8,347) | 135 (, 320) | 453 (324, 582) |
| Cardiovascular | 11.5 (6.7, 16.0) | 20.0 (17.4, 22.4) | 0.9 (0.1, 1.6) | 1.7 (1.3, 2.2) | 3,448 (2,009; 4,797) | 12,714 (11,067; 14,247) | 255 (30, 480) | 1,100 (827; 1,399) |