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. 2019 Mar 1;127(3):037001. doi: 10.1289/EHP3556

Table 4.

Attributable fraction of mortality and annual attributable death counts (with 95% empirical confidence intervals) of cold and hot effects (nonoptimum temperatures) for urban and rural counties in Zhejiang Province, 2009–2015.

Cause-specific mortality and subgroups Attributable fraction of mortality (%) Attributable death counts (cases/year)
Cold effects (temperature below MMT) Hot effects (temperature above MMT) Cold effects (temperature below MMT) Hot effects (temperature above MMT)
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
All cause 7.0 (3.9, 10.1) 16.4 (14.9, 17.9) 0.8 (0.4, 1.2) 0.9 (0.7, 1.1) 6,741 (3,739; 9,684) 32,801 (29,765; 35,758) 748 (384; 1,151) 1,878 (1,398; 2,197)
Nonaccidental 7.5 (4.1, 10.7) 17.6 (15.9, 19.1) 0.7 (0.2, 1.2) 0.9 (0.7, 1.1) 6,556 (3,598; 9,390) 31,540 (28,494; 34,228) 606 (176; 1,053) 1631 (1,254; 1,971)
 Age 0–64 4.7 (2.5, 11.4) 10.6 (6.4, 14.5) 0.1 (0.4, 0.7) 0.1 (0.1, 0.3) 870 (461, 2101) 4,967 (2,990; 6,775) 24 (74, 129) 37 (47, 140)
 Age 65+ 10.7 (4.3, 16.3) 19.6 (17.7, 21.1) 0.6 (0.1, 1.2) 1.0 (0.7, 1.2) 7,398 (2,981; 11,301) 33,368 (30,210; 36,014) 416 (69, 832) 1639 (1195, 2048)
  Males 10.1 (3.5, 15.8) 16.9 (15.0, 19.0) 0.4 (0.2, 1.0) 0.6 (0.3, 0.8) 4,979 (1,729; 7,804) 20,994 (18,634; 23,603) 212 (99, 494) 683 (373, 994)
  Females 7.6 (2.5, 12.3) 18.5 (16.0, 20.8) 0.9 (0.2, 1.8) 1.1 (0.9, 1.4) 2,900 (959; 4,719) 17,257 (14,909; 19,381) 326 (77, 691) 1,062 (839; 1,305)
Cardiopulmonary 9.6 (5.4, 13.1) 22.1 (19.8, 24.1) 1.0 (0.2, 1.8) 1.2 (0.9, 1.4) 4,257 (2,405; 5,834) 21,197 (18,999; 23,125) 450 (89, 802) 1103 (864; 1,343)
Respiratory 8.1 (4.5, 11.5) 22.1 (18.2, 25.8) 0.9 (0.3, 2.2) 1.4 (1.0, 1.8) 1,174 (655; 1,673) 7,160 (5,888; 8,347) 135 (44, 320) 453 (324, 582)
Cardiovascular 11.5 (6.7, 16.0) 20.0 (17.4, 22.4) 0.9 (0.1, 1.6) 1.7 (1.3, 2.2) 3,448 (2,009; 4,797) 12,714 (11,067; 14,247) 255 (30, 480) 1,100 (827; 1,399)