Table 4. Purely spatial scan statistics of the most likely cluster and secondary clusters of malaria episodes at the village level, southern-central Ethiopia, October 2014 to January 2017.
Cluster | # villages | Coordinates | Radius (km) |
Pop. | # episodes | Expected cases | Annual episodes per 1000 | RR | LLR | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All malaria types* | ||||||||||
Most likely | 17 | 8.012083 N, 38.716507 E | 2.03 | 3605 | 346 | 123.44 | 41.05 | 3.55 | 159.3 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 19 | 7.858422 N, 38.741448 E | 2.69 | 3055 | 246 | 104.60 | 34.30 | 2.69 | 77.7 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 4 | 7.902991 N, 38.697144 E | 1.16 | 568 | 58 | 19.46 | 43.67 | 3.08 | 25.5 | <0.001 |
Plasmodium falciparum | ||||||||||
Most likely | 5 | 8.022632 N, 38.716322 E | 0.95 | 927 | 126 | 17.49 | 58.13 | 8.69 | 150.1 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 11 | 7.863378 N, 38.737913 E | 0.73 | 1637 | 103 | 30.89 | 26.91 | 3.77 | 56.28 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 6 | 7.920306 N, 38.692410 E | 1.83 | 971 | 49 | 18.32 | 21.58 | 2.81 | 18.28 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 2 | 8.027165 N, 38.691838 E | 1.28 | 246 | 17 | 4.64 | 29.55 | 3.73 | 9.83 | 0.004 |
Plasmodium vivax | ||||||||||
Most likely | 18 | 8.006982 N, 38.724748 E | 2.15 | 3602 | 82 | 31.17 | 9.74 | 3.25 | 33.63 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 1 | 7.893858 N, 38.692012 E | 0.0 | 228 | 19 | 1.97 | 35.64 | 10.21 | 26.5 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 15 | 7.871003 N, 38.742309 E | 1.83 | 2219 | 55 | 19.20 | 10.60 | 3.28 | 24.5 | <0.001 |
* Plasmodium falciparum, Plasmodium vivax, or mixed, RR = Relative risk, LLR = Log likelihood ratio