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. 2019 Sep 2;11(9):2056. doi: 10.3390/nu11092056

Dietary Patterns and Metabolic Syndrome in Adult Subjects: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Roberto Fabiani 1,*, Giulia Naldini 2, Manuela Chiavarini 3
PMCID: PMC6770202  PMID: 31480732

Abstract

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) constitutes a relevant public health burden. Several studies have demonstrated the association between diet and MetS. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to provide an estimate of the association between dietary patterns defined through a posteriori methods and MetS. A literature search on PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases, up to March 2019, was conducted to identify all eligible case-control, prospective, or cross-sectional studies involving adult subjects of both sexes. Random-effects models were used. Heterogeneity and publication bias were evaluated. Stratified analyses were conducted on study characteristics. Forty observational studies were included in the meta-analysis, which identified the “Healthy” and the “Meat/Western” dietary patterns. The “Healthy” pattern was associated with reduced MetS risk (OR = 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.79–0.91) and significantly decreased the risk in both sexes and in Eastern countries, particularly in Asia. Adherence to the “Meat/Western” pattern increased MetS risk (OR = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.09–1.29) and the association persisted in the stratified analysis by geographic area (Asia, Europe, America) and study design. Lifestyle is linked to risk of developing MetS. The “Healthy” and “Meat/Western” patterns are significantly associated with reduced and increased MetS risk, respectively. Nutrition represents an important modifiable factor affecting MetS risk.

Keywords: dietary pattern, metabolic syndrome, systematic review, meta-analysis

1. Introduction

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) has become a relevant public health concern [1] because of its increased prevalence partially explained by aging population and lifestyle factors, including diet [2,3].

MetS is a pathophysiological state and a cluster of interrelated factors including abdominal obesity, insulin resistance, dysglycemia, hypertension, and dyslipidemia (triglycerides and HDL-C—high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) [4]. The diagnosis of MetS requires three or more of the following criteria: (i) waist circumference >102 cm in men and >88 cm in women; (ii) HDL-C <40 mg/dL (<1.04 mmol/L) in men and <50 mg/dL (<1.29 mmol/L) in women; (iii) triglycerides ≥150 mg/dL (≥1.7 mmol/L); (iv) blood pressure ≥130/85 mmHg and (v) fasting glucose ≥110 mg/dL (≥6.1 mmol/L) [4,5]. A harmonization of the diagnostic criteria has been proposed, as the reference thresholds for abdominal obesity vary considerably among countries and international organizations [4]. In particular, the recommended waist circumference cutoff points are lower for both men and women in Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Central and South America [4].

According to literature, the consumption of specific foods or nutrients is strongly related to the risk of developing MetS [6,7,8,9]. Nutritional epidemiology currently applies dietary patterns to analyze the relation of diet with chronic diseases rather than focusing on individual foods and nutrients [10,11]. Dietary patterns provide a closer representation of the overall dietary habits of the population in study. The statistical methods identifying dietary patterns are distinguished in a priori and a posteriori methods. A priori approaches assign dietary indices and scores (i.e., glycemic index, Mediterranean score) based on current nutritional knowledge of positive and negative effects of various nutrients or foods and identify an optimal pattern, the adherence to which could maximize health benefit. The a priori approach can prove more advantageous only if important dietary factors have been clearly defined to affect the outcome under study [10,12]. Conversely, a posteriori methods identify dietary patterns (i.e., Western and Healthy patterns) based on available dietary data directly obtained from the studied population [10]. Their major limit is that the identified dietary pattern may be sample specific and influenced by subjective decisions [10,12]. The association of MetS outcomes with a priori patterns, such as the Mediterranean diet and inflammatory diet, have been analyzed. The Mediterranean diet reduced the risk of MetS, whereas the comparison of the most pro-inflammatory diet versus the most anti-inflammatory diet showed no significant association [13,14]. A recent meta-analysis [15] had evaluated the relationship between a posteriori dietary patterns and MetS and showed a risk reduction of 11% for prudent/healthy pattern and a risk increase of 16% for Western/unhealthy pattern. A previous meta-analysis [16], found that an inverse association of prudent/healthy pattern and a positive association of Western/unhealthy pattern with MetS in cross-sectional studies, but not in cohort studies. Since then several other studies have been published on this topic with contrasting results. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis for deriving a more precise estimation of this association.

The aim of our systematic review and meta-analysis is to investigate and provide an estimate of the association between dietary patterns defined by a posteriori methods and MetS risk in adults.

2. Materials and Methods

The present meta-analysis was conducted following the MOOSE (Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines [17] and PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses) statement [18].

2.1. Search Strategy and Data Source

We conducted a comprehensive literature search, without restrictions, up to 31 March 2019 through PubMed (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/), Web of Science (http://wokinfo.com/) and Scopus (https://www.scopus.com/) databases to identify all the original articles on the association between dietary patterns and MetS. The literature search included the following search medical subject headings (MeSH) and key words: (“Metabolic Syndrome” OR MetS) AND (“dietary pattern” OR “eating pattern” OR “food pattern” OR “dietary habit” OR “dietary score” OR “dietary index” OR "nutrient pattern” OR “diet diversity” OR “diet variety” OR “diet quality” OR “diet index” OR “diet score”) AND (“factor analysis” OR “principal component analysis” OR “cluster analysis” OR clustering OR “reduced rank regression” OR “data-driven approach” OR “a posteriori method”).

We manually examined the reference lists of selected articles and recent relevant reviews to identify possible additional relevant publications.

2.2. Eligibility Criteria

Articles were included if they met the following criteria: (i) evaluated the relationship between dietary patterns derived by a posteriori methods, such as principal component analysis (PCA), factor analysis (FA), and principal component factor analysis (PCFA), and by reduced rank regression (RRR, i.e., an integration of the a priori and the a posteriori approaches) and MetS in adults; (ii) used a case-control, prospective or cross-sectional study design; (iii) reported odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR) or hazard ratio (HR) estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For each potentially included study, two investigators independently carried out the selection, data abstraction, and quality assessment. Disagreements were resolved by discussion or in consultation with the third author. Although useful to have background information, reviews and meta-analysis were excluded. No studies were excluded for weakness of design or data quality.

2.3. Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

For each selected study, we extracted the following information: first author’s last name, year of publication, country, study design, sample size (when possible, number of cases and controls; cohort size and incident cases), population characteristics (sex, age), duration of follow-up for cohort studies, MetS assessment method, dietary assessment and dietary pattern identification methods (FA, PCA and PCFA), characteristics of the dietary assessment method, name given to the dietary patterns and their characteristics, cutoff points of the different categories of adherence to the dietary pattern (dichotomy, tertile, quartile and quintile), risk estimates with 95% CIs for the different categories of adherence, p-value for trend, and confounding factors adjustment. When multiple estimates were reported in the article, we pulled out those adjusted for the most confounding factors.

2.4. Statistical Analysis

The estimated overall effect-size statistic was the average of the logarithm of the observed OR (approximated to RR, when necessary) associated with the highest versus the lowest level of adherence to the different dietary patterns. We used the random-effects model to calculate the summary OR and 95% CIs. We restricted the analysis to the dietary patterns defined a posteriori. Since the labeling of the patterns is arbitrary and the dietary patterns are population-specific, we considered only those patterns sharing most foods with similar factor loadings. For the inclusion in the meta-analysis, the two most common dietary patterns with similar factor loading of principle components were identified in 38 studies (out of 40) [19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58]. The first dietary pattern, named “Healthy”, was characterized by a high loading of vegetables and fruit, poultry, fish, and whole grains. The selected articles labeled this pattern as “Healthy” [22,24,26,27,32,36,43,51,52,54,55,58], “Healthy Japanese” [35], “Health-conscious” [44], “Prudent” [28,31,33,37,46,47,50], “Balanced” [19,25], “Fruit & vegetables” [20,57], “Vegetables, fruits, cereals, and tubers” [42], “Traditional Chinese” [56], “Minimally processed/processed” [21], “Mixed-traditional” [23], “Fruits, vegetables, nuts, and legumes” [29], “Refined Grains & Vegetables” [30], “Traditional” [34,49], “Traditional Lebanese” [38], “Balanced Korean” [39], “Fruit and dairy” [40], “Grains, vegetables, and fish” [45].

The second dietary pattern, named “Meat/Western”, had a high loading of red meat, processed meat, animal fat, eggs and sweets. The included articles labeled this pattern as “Western” [19,20,28,31,43,46,50,51,53,54,58], “Traditional and protein” [42], “Unhealthy” [36,55], “Animal food” [56], “Common Brazilian meal” [57], “Ultra-processed” [21], “Westernized” [24,32], “Mixed-modern” [23], “High-protein/cholesterol” [25], “Meat” [26,34], “Refined and Processed” [27], “Animal protein” [29], “Organ Meat & Poultry” [30], “Fat, meat and alcohol” [32], “High-fat/Western” [33], “Animal food” [35], “Southern” [37], “High-Protein” [38], “Semi-Western” [39], “Alcohol and meat” [40,45], “Processed foods” [44], “High-protein/fat” [47], “Meat and French fries” [49], “High glycemic index and high-fat” [52].

The chi-square-based Cochran’s Q statistic and the I2 statistic were used to evaluate heterogeneity in results across studies [59]. The I2 statistic yields results ranged from 0% to 100% (I2 = 0%–25%, no heterogeneity; I2 = 25%–50%, moderate heterogeneity; I2 = 50%–75%, large heterogeneity; and I2 = 75%–100%, extreme heterogeneity) [60]. Results of the meta-analysis may be biased if the probability of publication is dependent on the study results. We used the methods of Begg and Mazumdar [61] and Egger et al. [62] to detect publication bias. Both methods tested for funnel plot asymmetry, the former being based on the rank correlation between the effect estimates and their sampling variances, and the latter on a linear regression of a standard normal deviate on its precision. If a potential bias was detected, we further conducted a sensitivity analysis to assess the robustness of combined effect estimates, and the possible influence of the bias, and to have the bias corrected. We also conducted a sensitivity analysis to investigate the influence of a single study on the overall risk estimate, by omitting one study in each turn. We considered the funnel plot to be asymmetrical, if the intercept of Egger’s regression line deviated from zero, with a p-value of <0.05. The analyses were performed using the ProMeta Version 3.0 statistical program (Internovi, Via Cervese, 47522, Cesena, Italy).

3. Results

3.1. Study Selection

The primary literature search through PubMed (n = 90), Web of Science (n = 227) and Scopus (n = 143) databases identified a total of 460 articles. Duplicates (n = 158) were removed and the remaining 302 records were identified for title and abstract revision (Figure 1).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Flow diagram of the systematic literature search on dietary patterns and MetS risk. Metabolic Syndrome (MetS).

Among these, 236 articles were excluded as not investigating the association between dietary patterns and the outcome of interest. Sixty-five articles were subjected to full-text revision. Hand searching of reference lists of both selected articles and recent relevant reviews led to the identification of seven additional items. Subsequently, 32 papers were excluded because they did not meet the inclusion criteria as follows: 9 studies considered a different dietary pattern as the comparison reference; 6 studies were carried out on adolescents; 5 studies reported the MetS risk combined with genotype; 4 studies derived the dietary patterns considering nutrients instead of food items; 3 studied reported the correlation instead of risk estimate; one study used a control group (no MetS) as reference; one study was carried out on transplant recipients; and one study was carried out on type 2 diabetes. Therefore, at the end of the selection process, 40 studies were enclosed for the identification of the different dietary patterns in the systematic review and meta-analysis [19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58].

3.2. Study Characteristics and Quality Assessment

General characteristics of the 40 studies evaluating the association between adherence to a posteriori dietary patterns with MetS risk are shown in Table 1.

Table 1.

Main characteristics of studies included in the systematic review and meta-analysis on dietary patterns and Metabolic Syndrome.

First Author
Year
Location
Study Design, Name, and Population
Cases/Controls
Follow-Up
Incident Cases
Age
Assessment of Metabolic Syndrome Dietary Pattern Assessment and Identification Method Dietary Pattern Type and Characteristics Pattern Score OR/RR (95% CI) p for Trend Matched or Adjusted Variables
Asadi [19]
2019
Iran
Cross-sectional Mashhad stroke and heart atherosclerotic disorder (MASHAD) study
Cases: 1890
Age 50.11 ± 7.76
Control: 4005
Age 47.56 ± 8.21
  • -

    WC1: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP2: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG3: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG4: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c5: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

65-item FFQ6 (IA7)
22 food groups
FA8
Varimax rotation
EIG9>1
3 factors
VE10 23%
1. Balanced: vegetables, green leafy vegetables, fruit, dairy products, red meats, poultry, legumes Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.90 (0.73–1.11)
0.343 Age, sex, BMI11, physical activity, smoking, education, marital status, total energy intake
2. Western: sugar, tea, eggs, potato, snacks, organs meat, nuts, butter, pickled foods, carbonated beverages, red meats Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.58 (1.21–2.06)
0.001
3. High-carbohydrate: refined grains, carbonated beverages, fast foods, snacks, sugar, coffee, sea foods Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.17 (1.02–1.33)
0.023
Czekajlo [20]
2019
Poland
Cross-sectional
Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiological
(PURE) study
Cases: 721
Age 56.4 ± 9.1
Control: 913
Age 53.0 ± 10.1
  • -

    WC: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

154-item FFQ
22 food groups
PCA12
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.5
3 factors
VE 35.2%
1. Western: refined grains, processed meat, sweets and sugar, honey Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.90 (0.65–1.25)
Age, sex, residence, education, physical activity, smoking, total energy intake
2. Fruit and vegetables: fruit, vegetables and nuts, seeds and raisins Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.13 (0.82–1.54)
3. Traditional: mixed dishes, soups, fish and red meat Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.28 (0.95–1.72)
Agodi [31]
2018
Czech Republic
Cross-sectional
Kardiovize Brno 2030 study
Cases: 739
Age 54.0 (IQR 15)
Control: 1195
Age 41.5 (IQR 17)
  • -

    WC: ≥ 94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

43-item FFQ
31 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG>2
Loading ≥0.25
2 factors
VE 13.73%
1. Western: white bread, processed meat, fries, hamburger Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.24 (0.83–1.85)
0.132 Age, sex, marital status, employment, education, smoking, BMI, total energy intake, physical activity
2. Prudent: cereals, jam and honey, fish, fruit Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.65 (0.47–0.88)
0.004
Cattafesta [42]
2018
Brazil
Cross-sectional
515 bankers
Age 20–64
Cases: 85
Control: 410
  • -

    WC: >102 cm (men); >88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

73-item FFQ (IA)
PCA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.3
3 factors
1. Vegetables, fruit, cereals, and tubers: cabbage, carrot, cucumber, pumpkin, zucchini, okra, chayote, cauliflower, beet and pod, lettuce, tomato, papaya, apple, pear, watermelon, guava, mango, pineapple, grape, orange, manioc, polenta, cooked potatoes, onion, garlic, peppers Quintile 1
Quintile 3
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.305 (0.138–0.672)
0.447 (0.216–0.926)
0.003 NR13
2. Sweets and snacks: lentils, cake, ice cream, chocolate, pudding, chocolate powder, pizza, salty fish, canned fish and shrimp, wine, viscera, and avocado NR
3. Traditional and protein: rice, beans, pork, bone-in beef and beef steak, sausage, eggs, potato chips, hamburger, bacon, mayonnaise, sweet bread, salt bread, butter/margarine NR
Drake [53]
2018
Sweden
Cohort study
Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS)
2368 subjects
Age 45–67
follow-up: 16.7
1131 incident cases
  • -

    WC: >102 cm (men); >88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

1. 7-d food record
2. 168-items FFQ
3. Diet history interview
38 food groups
RRR14
2 factors
VE 3.2%
1. Western: sugar-sweetened beverages, milk (reduced fat), artificially sweetened beverages, red and processed meat, sweets Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.47 (1.23–1.77)
<0.001 Age, sex, total energy intake, height, smoking, education, total physical activity, co-habiting status
2. Drinker: alcoholic beverages, red and processed meat, fish and shellfish, eggs Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.00 (0.85–1.19)
0.88
Hassannejad [54]
2018
Iran
Cohort study
Isfahan Cohort
Study (ICS)
1387 participants
follow-up: 13
  • -

    WC: >102 cm (men); >88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

48-item FFQ (IA)
21 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG>1.5
loading >0.2
3 factors
VE 26.2%
1. Healthy: fruit, vegetables, olive oils, chicken, fish, nuts and beans 2 categories 1.00 (Reference)
0.50 (0.36–0.70)
Age, sex, socioeconomic status, smoking, physical activity, BMI, medications for hypertension and diabetes
2. Iranian: dairy product, animal fat, sweets, organ meat, red meat and hydrogenated oils 2 categories 1.00 (Reference)
1.28 (1.01–1.65)
3. Western: fried foods, rice, red meat, hydrogenated oils, carbonated beverages, fast foods, canned food, sweets 2 categories 1.00 (Reference)
1.14 (0.76–1.71)
Shokrzadeh [55]
2018
Iran
Cross-sectional
304 men and women,
Age 20–60
  • -

    WC: >102 cm (men); >88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.6 mmol/L;

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.03 mmol/L (men); <1.29 mmol/L (women)

147-item FFQ (IA)
24 food groups
FA
2 factors
VE 18.3
1. Healthy: fruit, vegetables, olive, nuts, legumes, cereal, low-fat dairy products, liquid oil, olive oil, fish Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.3 (0.6–3.0)
0.55 Age, sex, physical activity
2. Unhealthy: snacks, red meat, fat dairy, mayonnaise, tuna, organ meats, processed meats, sweets, pizza, spices, ketchup Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
2.8 (1.2–6.6)
0.09
Wei [56]
2018
China
Cross-sectional
1918 individuals
Age 45–59
Cases: 453
Age 54.82 ± 9.63
Control: 1465
51.48 ± 9.56
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥85 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.6 mmol/L;

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

138-item FFQ (IA)
30 food groups
PCFA16
Varimax rotation
EIG≥1.5
Loading ≥0.4
3 factors
VE 23%
1. Traditional Chinese: whole grains, tubers, vegetables, fruit, pickled vegetables, mushrooms, bacon, salted fish, salted and preserved eggs, soya bean and its products, miscellaneous beans, vegetable oil, tea Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.72 (0.596–0.952)
<0.05 Sage, sex, education, physical activity, smoking, total energy intake
2. Animal food: red meats, poultry and organs, processed and cooked meat, fish and shrimp, eggs, seafood, alcoholic beverages, coffee Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.28 (1.103–1.697)
<0.05
3. High-energy: refined grains, milk, cheese, fats, fast foods, nuts, snacks, chocolates, honey, drinks Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.09 (0.825–1.495)
0.44
Drehmer [57]
2017
Brazil
Cross-sectional
Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health
(ELSA—Brazil)
9835 participants
Age 50.7 ± 8.7
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women) SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.6 mmol/L;

  • -

    TG: ≥1.69 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.03 mmol/L (men); <1.29 mmol/L (women)

114-item FFQ
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG ≥1.5
Loading ≥0.2
4 factors
VE 23%
1. Vegetables/fruit: vegetables and fruit Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.07 (0.90–1.28)
0.366 Age, sex, race, education, family income, occupational status, study center, menopausal status, family history of diabetes, BMI, physical activity, smoking, alcohol, calorie intake
2. Common Brazilian fast foods/full fat dairy/desserts: fast foods, cakes, milk-based desserts, regular cheese and red meats Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.86 (0.71–1.04)
0.057
3. Common Brazilian meal: white rice, beans, beer, processed and fresh meats Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
2.13 (1.76–2.58)
<0.001
4. Diet or light foods and beverages/low-fat dairy: low-fat foods, low or zero sugar beverages with artificial sweeteners and low-fat dairy Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.47 (1.23–1.71)
<0.001
Falahi [58]
2017
Iran
Cross-sectional
973 persons
Age 18–75
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

168-item FFQ (SA)
40 food groups
PCFA
Loading >0.2
3 factors
VE 29.9%
1. Western: red meat, processed meat, organ meats, margarine, coffee, sweets and desserts, soft drinks, condiments, dried fruit Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
2.70 (1.52–4.79)
0.002 Age, sex, smoking, physical activity, drug using, history of diabetes, history of heart disease, BMI
2. Healthy: poultry, dairy products, fish, fruit, yellow vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, other vegetables, legumes, whole grains, olives Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.39 (0.21–0.71)
0.004
3. Traditional: grains, tea, nuts, fruit juices, eggs, pickles, hydrogenated oils, vegetables oils, sugar, salt Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.43 (0.80–2.54)
0.48
Nasreddine [21]
2017
Lebanon
Cross-sectional
302 subjects
Cases: 195
Age 43.4 ± 14.7
Controls: 107
Age 37.2 ± 12.9
  • -

    WC: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

80-item FFQ (IA)
25 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.4
2 factors
VE 22.44%
1. Ultra-processed: fast foods, snacks, meat, nuts, sweets and liquor 2 categories 1.00 (Reference)
1.11 (0.26–4.65)
Age, sex, marital status, area of residence, education, income, smoking, physical activity, total energy intake, BMI
2. Minimally processed/processed: fruit, vegetables, legumes, breads, cheeses, sugar and fats 2 categories 1.00 (Reference)
0.21 (0.05–0.87)
Suliga [22]
2017
Poland
Cross-sectional
Polish–Norwegian Study (PONS) Study
7997 participants
Age 37–66
  • -

    WC: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

67-item FFQ
33 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.3
3 factors
VE 26.7%
1. Healthy: fruit and vegetables, sour cabbage, whole grains, yogurt, cottage cheese, fish, nuts Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.05 (0.90–1.22)
0.56 Age, sex, place of living, education, marital status, smoking, physical activity, BMI
2. Westernized: fried dishes, oil, mayonnaise, red meat, processed meat, eggs, sugar-sweetened beverages, alcohol, sugar, sweets Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.04 (0.89–1.21)
0.88
3. Traditional-carbohydrate: potatoes, refined grains, soups, sugar, sweets, high-fat milk Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.05 (0.90–1.23)
0.593
Wang [23]
2017
Samoa
Cross-sectional
2774 adults
Cases: 1104
Age 49 ± 10
Controls: 1670
Age 42 ± 11
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

104-item FFQ
28 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
Loading ≥0.3
3 factors
VE 36%
1. Modern: pizza, cheeseburgers, breakfast cereal, margarine, sugary drinks, desserts, snacks, egg products, noodles, nuts, breads, and cakes Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.00 (0.86–1.15)
0.62 Age, sex, material lifestyle score, smoking, total energy intake, physical activity, hypertension medication, diabetes medication
2. Mixed-traditional: fruit, vegetables, soup, poultry, fish, dairy products, breads and cakes Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.97 (0.84–1.11)
0.24
3. Mixed-modern: red meat, egg products, noodles, grains, seafood and coconut products Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.79 (0.69–0.91)
0.006
Kang [24]
2016
Korea
Cross-sectional
KNHANES
5384 men
8026 women
Age ≥19
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

24-h recall method
24 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.3
Loading ≥0.25
3 factors
VE
20.9% (Men)
20.5% (Women)
1. Traditional: white rice and kimchi MEN MEN Age, BMI, income, smoking, physical activity, educational level, alcohol, energy intake
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.4344
Quartile 4 1.08 (0.87–1.35)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.0003
Quartile 4 1.41 (1.15–1.73)
2. Westernized: oils, sugar and sweets, vegetables, and fish MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 NR
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 NR
3. Healthy: whole grains, legumes, fruit, and seaweed MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.1341
Quartile 4 0.81 (0.66–1.01)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.7596
Quartile 4 1.02 (0.85–1.21)
Xia [25]
2016
China
Case-control
Tianjin Chronic Low-grade Systemic Inflammation and Health (TCLSI Health)
1636 cases
6677 controls
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.56 mmol/L;

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

81-item FFQ
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
Loading >0.3
3 factors
VE 27.4%
1. High-carbohydrate/sweet: candied fruit, cakes, ice cream, and juice Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.04 (0.85–1.28)
0.91 Other dietary pattern factor scores
2. Balanced: balance intake of vegetables, mushroom and coarse cereals Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.84 (0.68–1.04)
0.29
3. High-protein/cholesterol: animal offal, animal blood, and sausage Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.36 (1.10, 1.68)
<0.01
Aekplakorn [26]
2015
Thailand
Cross-sectional
NHES IV
2693 men
3179 women
Age 30–59
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

FFQ
22 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.5
3 factors
VE
32.74% (men)
33.1% (women)
1. Meat: red meat, processed meat, and fried food MEN MEN Age, alcohol drinking, family history of diabetes, smoking, physical activity, BMI
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 1.01 (0.82–1.23)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 0.94 (0.72–1.21)
2. Healthy: beans, vegetables, wheat, and dairy products. MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 0.91 (0.67–1.23)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 0.72 (0.52–0.99)
3. Carbohydrate: glutinous rice, fermented fish, chili paste, and bamboo shoots MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 1.82 (1.31–2.55)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 1.60 (1.24–2.08)
Bell [27]
2015
Australia
Cross-sectional
2011–2012 NNPAS
2415 adults
Age >45
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥140/90 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: >6.0 mmol/L;

  • -

    TG: ≥ 2.0 mmol/L;

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

24-h dietary recall
39 food groups
PCFA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.5
Loadings > 0.25
3 factors
VE 21.9%
1. Red Meat and Vegetable: red meat and several types of vegetables One standard deviation increase 0.99 (0.89–1.10)
2. Refined and Processed: added sugar, full fat dairy, unsaturated spreads, cakes, pastries, and processed meat 0.92 (0.81–1.04)
3. Healthy: wholegrains, fresh fruit, dried fruit, legumes and low-fat dairy loaded 1.16 (1.04–1.29)
Choi [28]
2015
Korea
Cross-sectional
5189 women
Age 31–70
mean 52.2 ± 8.3
  • -

    WC: ≥80 cm

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <50 mg/dL

106-item FFQ
37 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
3 factors
VE 24.7%
1. Traditional: vegetables, condiments, shellfish, mushrooms, seaweed, fish, tubers, and kimchi Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.09 (0.83–1.44)
0.44 Age, marital status, education, household income, smoking status, alcohol consumption, regular exercise, and total energy intake.
2. Western: red meat, oil, cake/pizza, noodles, poultry, processed meats, bread, and sweets Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.98 (0.72–1.32)
0.95
3. Prudent: fruit and fruit products, bread, dairy products, nuts, cake/pizza, and milk Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.50 (0.36–0.68)
<0.001
Gadgil [29]
2015
USA
Cross-sectional
MASALA
892 South Asians
Age 40–84
NR 163-item FFQ
29 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
Loadings > 0.25
3 factors
VE 23.2%
1. Animal protein: poultry, red meat, eggs, fish Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.69 (0.43–1.10)
0.73 Age, sex, energy intake, study site, income, education, smoking, alcohol intake, exercise, BMI, waist circumference
2. Fried snacks, sweets, and high-fat dairy: butter/ghee, fried snacks, high-fat dairy, potatoes, sweets Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.95 (0.56–1.59)
0.18
3. Fruit, vegetables, nuts, and legumes: fruit, legumes, nuts, vegetables, vegetables oil Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.65 (0.38–1.11)
0.08
He [30]
2015
China
Cross-sectional
CNNHS
Cases: 617
Controls: 1579
Age ≥18
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

24-h dietary recall
for 3 d
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
Loading ≥ 0.5
4 factors
VE 48.65%
1. Refined Grains and Vegetables: refined grains, vegetables and livestock meat MEN MEN Age, occupation, types of area, BMI
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.496
Quintile 5 0.60 (0.32–1.14)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.021
Quintile 5 0.98 (0.55–1.77)
2. Dairy and Eggs: milk, dairy products, eggs, fruit, marine products MEN MEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) <0.001
Quintile 5 1.54 (0.88–2.68)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.008
Quintile 5 0.45 (0.26–0.79)
3. Organ Meat and Poultry: organ meat and poultry MEN MEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.087
Quintile 5 1.63 (0.93–2.87)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.002
Quintile 5 0.70 (0.41–1.22)
4. Coarse Grains and Beans: coarse grain, soybean, bean products MEN MEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.467
Quintile 5 0.75 (0.44–1.29)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.655
Quintile 5 1.35 (0.81–2.22)
Suliga [32]
2015
Poland
Cross-sectional
PONS
2479 subjects with a normal weight
Age 37–66
  • -

    WC: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women);

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg;

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL;

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL;

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

134-item FFQ
31 food groups
PCFA
Varimax rotation
Loading ≥ 0.3
4 factors
VE 32.95%
1. Healthy: fruit and vegetables, low-fat milk and dietary products, whole grains food Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.87 (0.68–1.13)
Age, level of education, place of residence, smoking cigarettes and physical activity
2. Fat, meat and alcohol: lard, red meat, cold cured meat, eggs, fried dishes, vegetable oils, mayonnaise and alcoholic drinks Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.04 (0.82–1.33)
3. Prudent: fish and whole grains products Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.69 (0.53–0.89)
4. Coca-Cola, hard cheese and French fries: Coca-Cola, hard cheese and French fries Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.82 (0.64–1.04)
Arisawa [33]
2014
Japan
Cross-sectional
J–MICC
Cases: 91
Age 53.5 ± 8.9
Controls: 422
Age 51.4 ± 9.4
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

46-item FFQ
PCA
EIG ≥1.0
Loading ≥ 0.2
4 factors
VE 33%
1. Prudent: fruit, vegetables and mushrooms One standard deviation increase 0.77 (0.56–1.03) Age, sex, total energy intake, physical activity, smoking and drinking habits
2. High-fat/Western: meat, meat products, mayonnaise, fried foods, fried dishes, Western-style confectionery 1.08 (0.83–1.42)
3. Bread and dairy: bread, margarine, mil and yogurt 0.89 (0.69–1.14)
4. Seafood: squid, shrimp, crab, octopus, shellfish, roe 1.14 (0.91–1.44)
Woo [34]
2014
Korea
Cross-sectional
486 men
771 women
Age 31–70
Cases: 205
Age 55.9 ± 9.2
Controls 1052
Age 50.8 ± 9.0
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

103-item FFQ
37 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.2
3 factors
VE 31.9%
1. Traditional: condiments, green/yellow vegetables, light-colored vegetables, tubers, clams, tofu/soymilk, and seaweed MEN MEN Age, total energy intake, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and physical activity
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.33
Quartile 4 1.18 (0.66–2.10)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.978
Quartile 4 1.07 (0.58–1.97)
2. Meat: red meat, red meat byproducts, other seafood, and high-fat red meat MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.005
Quartile 4 2.15 (1.10–4.21)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.455
Quartile 4 1.14 (0.68–1.92)
3. Snack: cake/pizza, snacks, and bread MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.335
Quartile 4 0.80 (0.49–1.31)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.83
Quartile 4 1.11 (0.66–1.85)
Akter [35]
2013
Japan
Cross-sectional
460 subjects
Age 21–67
Cases: 59
  • -

    Obesity: BMI ≥25 kg/m2

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

46-item diet history questionnaire
PCA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.15
3 factors
VE 19.5%
1. Healthy Japanese: vegetables, fruit, soy products, mushrooms, green tea Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.35 (0.55–3.30)
0.43 Age, sex, workplace, occupational physical activity, job position, marital status, non-occupational physical activity, smoking
2. Animal food: fish and shellfish, meat, processed meat, mayonnaise, and egg Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.54 (0.73–3.24)
0.25
3. Westernized breakfast: bread, confectioneries, milk and yogurt, mayonnaise, and egg Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.39 (0.16–0.95)
0.02
Baik [36]
2013
Korea
Cohort
5251 male and female
Age 40–69
6-year follow-up
Incident cases:1325
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥85 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

103-item FFQ
27 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >2.0
2 factors
VE 21%
1. Healthy: fish, seafood, vegetables, seaweed, protein foods, fruit, dairy products, and grains Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.76 (0.60–0.97)
<0.05 Age, sex, income, occupation, education, smoking, alcohol intake, quartiles of MET-hours/day, FTO genotypes, and quartiles of energy intake.
2. Unhealthy: refined white rice, meat, sweetened carbonated beverage, and noodles Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.12 (0.92–1.37)
0.38
Liu [37]
2013
USA
Cross-sectional
1775 African Americans Jackson Heart Study (JHS)
Cases: 1053
Age 21–94
  • -

    WC: ≥ 90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥140/90 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

158-item FFQ
31 food groups
PCA
EIG >1.0
Loading > 0.3
3 factors
1. Southern: beans and legumes, corn products, fried fish and chicken, meat, processed meat, margarine, butter, rice and pasta Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
2.16 (1.30–3.60)
Age, sex, smoking and alcohol status, education, and physical activity
2. Fast food: sugar and candy juice, fast food and salty snacks Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
2.40 (1.40–4.20)
3. Prudent: fruit and vegetables, cold and hot cereals, nuts and seeds Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.75 (0.50–1.10)
Naja [38]
2013
Lebanon
Cross-sectional Subjects: 323
Age ≥ 18
Cases:112
Age 42.83 ± 15.34
Controls: 211
Age 36.50 ± 13.91
  • -

    WC: ≥94 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

61-item FFQ
25 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.4
3 factors
VE 30.62%
1. Fast Food/Dessert: fast foods sandwiches, hamburger, shawarma, falafel, pizzas, pies, desserts, carbonated beverages and juices, and mayonnaise Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
3.13 (1.36–7.22)
0.06 Age, sex, marital status, education, crowding index, physical activity,
and smoking
2. Traditional Lebanese: dairy products, olives, fruit, legumes, grains, eggs, vegetable oil, dried fruit, and traditional sweets Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.96 (0.82–4.34)
0.1
3. High-Protein: fish, chicken, meat, dairy products—low-fat Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.22 (0.54–2.77)
0.76
Oh [39]
2013
Korea
Cross-sectional
KNHANES
5320 subjects
Age 30–80
2239 men
3081 women
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

24-h dietary recall
33 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.5
3 factors
1. Balanced Korean: rice, kimchi, whole grains, fish, sea products, vegetables, fruit, dairy products, eggs, meats, and mushrooms. MEN MEN Age, smoking history, alcohol behavior and physical activity
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.92
Quintile 5 0.88 (0.61–1.26)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) <0.05
Quintile 5 0.67 (0.47–0.96)
2. Unbalanced Korean: rice, kimchi and excessive carbohydrate MEN MEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.89
Quintile 5 0.99 (0.68–1.45)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) <0.05
Quintile 5 1.44 (1.03–2.01)
3. Semi-Western: meats, poultry, eggs, vegetables, and alcoholic beverages MEN MEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.64
Quintile 5 0.95 (0.66–1.39)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quintile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.17
Quintile 5 0.87 (0.63–1.20)
Hong [40]
2012
Korea
Cross-sectional
406 subjects
Age 22–78
Mean 50.6
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

24-h recall and a 3-day food record
33 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.5
Loading >0.2
4 factors
VE 28.8%
1. Korean traditional: refined and whole grains, Korean seasonings, onions and garlic, vegetable oil, soy products, starch syrup, and sugar Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
2.03 (1.05–3.92)
0.047 Age, sex, taking medications, smoking, physical activity, and BMI
2. Alcohol and meat: processed meats, eggs, fish paste, animal fat, and alcohol Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.16 (0.58–2.34)
0.945
3. Sweets and fast foods: fruit juices, chocolate, ice cream, pizza, and hamburgers Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.81 (0.41–1.61)
0.687
4. Fruit and dairy: fruit and dairy products, rice cakes and nuts Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.46 (0.22–0.95)
0.025
Wagner [41]
2012
France
Cross-sectional
MONA LISA
3090 subjects
Age 35–64
Mean: 50.4 ± 8.4
Cases: 420 men, 259 women
Controls: 1141 men, 1271 women
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.6 mmol/L

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.04 mmol/L (men); <1.29 mmol/L (women)

3-day food diary
31 food groups
PCA
EIG >1.0
Loading >0.2
2 factors
VE 13.3%
1. Energy-dense: red meat, potatoes, vegetable oils, alcohol, delicatessen products, sodas and sauce MEN MEN Age, center, educational level, smoking, total calorie intake, time spent sitting, physical activity, heart rate, menopause, BMI
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) <0.04
Quartile 4 1.63 (1.03–2.56)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.1
Quartile 4 1.53 (0.88–2.66)
2. Convenience-food: pizza, prepared dishes, cake, cream, grains, junk food, sodas and fruit juices MEN MEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference)
Quartile 4 0.82 (0.53–1.28)
WOMEN WOMEN
Quartile 1 1.00 (Reference) 0.16
Quartile 4 0.69 (0.39–1.24)
Cho [43]
2011
Korea
Cross-sectional
4984 women
Age 30–79
  • -

    WC: ≥88 cm

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c:<50 mg/dL

FFQ
16 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
Loading >0.2
3 factors
VE 35.8%
1. Western: fast foods, animal fat-rich foods, fried foods, grilled meat and seafoods, and sweet foods Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.87 (0.54–1.20)
0.304 Age
2. Healthy: green-yellow vegetables, healthy-protein foods, seaweeds, and bonefish Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
0.58 (0.50–0.91)
0.012
3. Traditional: salted vegetables and seafoods, cereals, and light-colored vegetables Quartile 1
Quartile 4
1.00 (Reference)
1.05 (0.79–1.40)
0.873
Heidemann [44]
2011
Germany
Cross-sectional
4025 subjects
Age 18–79
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

2678 items
4 weeks face-to-face dietary history
133 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
2 factors
1. Processed foods: refined grains, processed meat, red meat, high-sugar beverages, eggs, potatoes, beer, sweets and cakes, snacks and butter Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.64 (1.10–2.43)
0.001 Age, sex, total energy intake, socioeconomic status, sport activity, smoking
2. Health-conscious: cruciferous vegetables, fruity vegetables, leafy vegetables, all other vegetables, vegetable oils, legumes, fruit, fish and whole grains Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.98 (0.72–1.34)
0.67
Kim [45]
2011
Korea
Cross-sectional
second and third KNHANES
9850 adults
Age 19 ≥
  • -

    WC: ≥90 cm (men); ≥80 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

24-h recall
23 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
4 factors
VE 26.7%
1. White rice and kimchi: White rice, kimchi, vegetables Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.97 (0.85–1.11)
0.61 Age, sex, BMI, energy intake, alcohol intake, smoking status, and physical activity
2. Meat and alcohol: noodles and dumplings, meat and its products, alcohol Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.04 (0.91–1.19)
0.6
3. High-fat, sweets, and coffee: sugar and sweets, eggs, oils, coffee Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.04 (0.93–1.17)
0.51
4. Grains, vegetables, and fish: grains, nuts, vegetables, fish and shellfish, seasonings Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.86 (0.76–0.98)
0.02
Amini [46]
2010
Iran
Cross-sectional
425 subjects
Age 35–55
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥135/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

39-item FFQ
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG ≥1.5
5 factors
VE 26.4%
1. Western: sweets, butter, soda, mayonnaise, sugar, cookies, tail of a lamb, hydrogenated fat, eggs Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
2.32 (1.27–4.21)
0.006 Age, sex, education, and physical activity
2. Prudent: fish, peas, honey, nuts, juice, dry fruit, vegetable oil, liver and organic meat, coconuts Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.58 (0.32–1.04)
0.06
3. Vegetarian: potatoes, legumes, fruit rich in vitamin C, rice, green leafy vegetables, and fruit rich in vitamin A Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.36 (0.78–2.38)
0.27
4. High-fat dairy: high-fat yogurt and high-fat milk Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.25 (0.71–2.29)
0.4
5. Chicken and plant: chicken, fruit rich in vitamin A, green leafy vegetables, mayonnaise Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.05 (0.6–1.84)
0.84
Denova–Gutierrez [47]
2010
Mexico
Cross-sectional
HWCS (Health Workers Cohort Study)
5240 subjects
Age 20–70
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

116-item FFQ
28 food groups
FA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.5
Loading ≥0.3
3 factors
VE 20.6%
1. Prudent: processed vegetable juices, potatoes, fresh fruit, fresh vegetables, legumes Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
0.99 (0.85–1.17)
0.9 Age, sex, smoking, physical activity, weight change, place of residence, estrogen use, menopausal status, energy intake
2. Western: pastries, refined cereals, corn tortillas, soft drinks Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.58 (1.35–1.85)
0.001
3. High-protein/fat: red meat, processed meat, margarine (saturated fats), eggs Tertile 1
Tertile 3
1.00 (Reference)
1.18 (1.01–1.39)
0.04
DiBello [48] (A)
2009
Samoan Islands
Cross-sectional
American Samoan
(n = 723)
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.5 mmol/L

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

42-item FFQ
13 food groups
“Partial least squares regression”
3 factors
1. Neo-traditional: crab and lobster, fish, coconut cream dishes, papaya soup, coconut milk, papaya, and taro Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.89 (0.72–1.06)
0.23 Age, sex, modern lifestyle score, smoking, physical activity, total energy intake
2. Factor 2: meat and coconut products such as coconut cream dishes and lamb Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.99 (0.81–1.23)
0.64
3. Modern: sausage, eggs, milk, cheese, coconut cream, rice, instant noodle soup, bread, pancakes, cereal, butter/margarine, cake, potato chips Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.13 (0.93–1.38)
0.08
DiBello [48] (B)
2009
Samoan Islands
Cross-sectional
Samoan
(n = 785)
Age >18
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.5 mmol/L

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

42-item FFQ
13 food groups
“Partial least squares regression”
3 factors
1. Neo-traditional: crab and lobster, ripe coconut, coconut cream and coconut cream dishes, and papaya soup Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.74 (0.54–1.01)
0.13 Age, sex, modern lifestyle score, smoking, physical activity, total energy intake
2. Factor 3: meat and coconut products such as coconut cream dishes and lamb Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.98 (0.71–1.35)
0.99
3. Modern: sausage, eggs, rice, instant noodle soup, pancakes, cereal, papaya, cake, potato chips, ripe coconut, chop suey, rice dishes, crackers, and soup with vegetables Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.21 (0.93–1.57)
0.05
Noel [49]
2009
USA
Cross-sectional
1167 Puerto Ricans Age 45–75
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥5.6 mmol/L

  • -

    TG: ≥1.7 mmol/L

  • -

    HDL-c: <1.0 mmol/L (men); <1.3 mmol/L (women)

126-item FFQ
34 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
Loading ≥0.2
3 factors
1. Meat and French fries: meat, processed meat, French fries, pizza and Mexican foods, eggs, alcohol, and other grains and pasta Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.20 (0.76–2.00)
Age, sex, smoking, alcohol use, education, physical activity, total energy, acculturation, lipid-lowering medication and multivitamin use, BMI
2. Traditional: beans and legumes, rice, oil, vegetables Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.70 (1.04–2.70)
3. Sweets: candy, sugar and chocolate candy, soft drinks, sugary beverages, sweet baked goods, dairy desserts, and salty snacks Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.30 (0.83–2.10)
Lutsey [50]
2008
USA
Cohort
ARIC
9514 participants
Age mean: 53.6
Follow-up 9
3782 incident cases
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

66-item FFQ
29 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >2.0
Loading ≥0.2
2 factors
VE 19.9%
1. Western: refined grains, processed meat, fried foods, and red meat Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.18 (1.03–1.37)
0.03 Age, sex, race, education, center, total calories, smoking and physical activity
2. Prudent: cruciferous and carotenoid vegetables, fruit, fish, and poultry Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.07 (0.95–1.20)
0.11
Esmaillzadeh [51]
2007
Iran
Cross-sectional
486 Women
Age 40–60
  • -

    WC: ≥88 cm

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥110 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <50 mg/dL

168-item FFQ (IA)
41 food groups
PCA
Varimax rotation
EIG >1.0
Loading ≥0.2
3 factors
1. Healthy: fruit, tomatoes, poultry, legumes, cruciferous and green leafy vegetables, other vegetables, tea, fruit juices, and whole grains Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
0.69 (0.36–0.92)
<0.01 Age, smoking, physical activity, current estrogen use, menopausal status, and family history of diabetes and stroke, energy intake, BMI
2. Western: refined grains, red meat, butter, processed meat, high-fat dairy products, sweets and desserts, pizza, potatoes, eggs, hydrogenated fats, and soft drinks Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.60 (1.06–1.88)
<0.01
3. Traditional: refined grains, potatoes, tea, whole grains, hydrogenated fats, legumes, and broth Quintile 1
Quintile 5
1.00 (Reference)
1.07 (0.86–1.22)
0.11
Panagiotakos [52]
2007
Greece
Cross-sectional
ATTICA study
1518 men
Age 46 ± 13
1524 women
Age 45 ± 13
  • -

    WC: ≥102 cm (men); ≥88 cm (women)

  • -

    SBP/DBP: ≥130/85 mmHg

  • -

    FBG: ≥100 mg/dL

  • -

    TG: ≥150 mg/dL

  • -

    HDL-c: <40 mg/dL (men); <50 mg/dL (women)

156-item FFQ (SA)
22 food groups
Varimax rotation
PCA
EIG >1.0
Loading >0.4
6 factors
VE 56%
1. Healthful: fish, vegetables, legumes, cereals, and fruit Logistic regression analysis 0.87 (0.79–0.97) 0.013 Smoking, years of school, income, use of medication, BMI
2. High glycemic index and high-fat: red or white meat and meat products, and potatoes 1.13 (1.05–1.21) 0.004
3. Component: bread, pasta 0.97 (0.87–1.08) 0.564
4. Component: dairy, eggs 1.04 (0.93–1.15) 0.516
5. Component: sweets 1.06 (0.96–1.18) 0.268
6. Component: alcoholic beverages 1.26 (1.21–1.33) 0.001

1 Waist Circumference (WC); 2 Systolic Blood Pressure (SBP)/Diastolic Blood Pressure (DBP); 3 Fasting Blood Glucose (FBG); 4 Triglyceride (TG); 5 HDL cholesterol (HDL-c); 6 Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ); 7 Interviewer Administered (IA); 8 Factor Analysis (FA); 9 Eigenvalues (EIG); 10 Variance Explained (VE); 11 Body Mass Index (BMI); 12 Principal Component Analysis (PCA); 13 Not Reported (NR); 14 Reduced Rank Regression (RRR); 15 Cluster Analysis (CA); 16 Principal Component Factor Analysis (PCFA); 17 Self-Administered (SA).

These studies were published between 2007 and 2019. Eight studies were conducted in Korea [24,28,34,36,39,40,43,45], eight in Europe [20,22,31,32,41,44,52,53]; six in Iran [19,46,51,54,55,58]; four in the USA [29,37,49,50]; three in China [25,30,56]; two in Japan [33,35], Brazil [42,57], Samoan Islands [23,48] and Lebanon [21,38]; and one each in Thailand [26], Australia [27] and Mexico [47]. Four were cohort studies [36,50,53,54], one was a case-control study [25] and all others were cross-sectional studies. Six studies were conducted on women and men separately [24,26,30,34,39,41], three were on women only [28,43,51] and all others estimated the MetS risk on women and men together. One study did not report the parameters used to identify the MetS [29].

Thirty-one studies used a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ; 43 to 168 items) [19,20,21,22,23,25,26,28,29,31,32,33,34,36,37,38,42,43,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58] while six studies used a 24-h dietary recall [24,27,30,39,40,45] to collect dietary information. In addition, three studies used a diet history questionnaire [35], 3-day food diary [41] and 4 weeks face-to-face dietary history interview [44], respectively. One study [53] derived dietary patterns through RRR, another study [48] used a “partial least squares regression” method, while all the other studies derived dietary patterns through a posteriori methods (PCA, PCFA, and FA). Nine studies [21,31,36,41,44,51,52,53,55] reported the association of MetS risk with two different dietary patterns, 24 studies [19,20,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,34,35,37,38,39,42,43,47,48,49,50,54,56,58] considered three different dietary patterns, six studies [30,32,33,40,45,57] considered four different dietary patterns and one study [46] considered five different dietary patterns.

3.3. Meta-Analysis

We identified two common dietary patterns with similar factor loading of principle components: “Healthy” and “Meat/Western” patterns. Thirty-eight out of 40 articles included in the systematic review were used for the overall risk estimation. Two studies [41,48] were excluded because they reported dietary patterns that could not be clearly assumed in “Healthy” nor in “Meat/Western” patterns. In the studies by Agodi et al. [31] and by Wang et al. [23], the “Healthy” dietary pattern was the only pattern identified, whereas in the study by Cattafesta et al. [42] the “Meat/Western” was the only pattern selected. The meta-analyses on the MetS risk in association with “Healthy” and “Meat/Western” dietary patterns (studies comparing the highest intake to the lowest intake) are shown in Figure 2A,B, respectively.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Forest plots of the association between “Healthy” (A) and “Meat/Western” (B) dietary patterns and MetS risk. ES, effect size.

The overall analysis showed that the MetS risk significantly decreased in association with the adherence to the “Healthy” pattern (OR = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.79–0.91) and significantly increased in association with the adherence to the “Meat/Western” pattern (OR = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.09–1.29). These results did not essentially change when the studies [27,33,52] not comparing the highest vs. the lowest dietary pattern adherence values were excluded (Table 2).

Table 2.

Results of stratified analysis of the Metabolic Syndrome risk estimates for the highest compared with the lowest intake categories of “Healthy” and “Meat/Western” dietary patterns a,b.

Combined Risk Estimate Test of Heterogeneity Publication Bias
Dietary Patterns Value (95% CI) p Q I2% p P (Egger Test) P (Begg Test)
“Healthy”
All (n = 42) c 0.85 (0.79–0.91) <0.0001 132.11 68.97 <0.0001 0.005 0.074
 Excluding: Bell [27], Arisawa [33] and Panagiotakos [52] (n = 39) d 0.84 (0.77–0.91) <0.0001 110.23 65.53 <0.0001 0.011 0.088
Study design
 Cohort studies (n = 3) 0.76 (0.50–1.15) 0.195 21.58 90.73 <0.0001 0.081 0.117
 Cross-sectional studies (n = 39) 0.86 (0.79–0.92) <0.0001 110.22 65.52 <0.0001 0.016 0.097
Geographic location
 Eastern countries (n = 28) 0.78 (0.71–0.86) <0.0001 63.57 57.53 <0.0001 0.098 0.343
 Western countries (n = 14) 0.97 (0.88–1.07) 0.557 39.61 67.18 0.0002 0.255 0.208
Geographic area
 Asia (n = 27) 0.77 (0.70–0.85) <0.0001 57.22 54.56 0.0003 0.215 0.466
 Europe (n = 6) 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 0.188 10.70 53.27 0.058 0.952 0.851
 America (n = 7) 0.98 (0.84–1.15) 0.806 15.43 61.12 0.017 0.272 0.099
Sex
 Women (n = 8) 0.74 (0.59–0.92) 0.007 22.95 69.50 0.002 0.422 0.322
 Men (n = 5) 0.85 (0.73–0.99) 0.032 2.81 0.00 0.589 0.831 1.000
“Meat/Western”
All (n = 40) 1.19 (1.09–1.29) <0.0001 158.62 75.41 <0.0001 0.121 0.155
 Excluding: Bell [27], Arisawa [33] and Panagiotakos [52] (n = 37) d 1.21 (1.10–1.34) <0.0001 146.92 75.50 <0.0001 0.151 0.209
Study design
 Cohort studies (n = 4) 1.24 (1.08–1.41) 0.002 4.99 39.84 0.173 0.911 1.000
 Cross-sectional studies (n = 36) 1.18 (1.08–1.30) 0.0004 149.62 76.61 <0.0001 0.119 0.120
Geographic location
 Eastern countries (n = 26) 1.17 (1.05–1.32) 0.006 77.75 67.85 <0.0001 0.021 0.193
 Western countries (n = 14) 1.21 (1.06–1.38) 0.004 77.65 83.26 <0.0001 0.471 0.477
Geographic area
 Asia (n = 25) 1.20 (1.08–1.33) 0.001 53.66 55.28 0.0005 0.100 0.112
 Europe (n = 7) 1.15 (1.03–1.31) 0.014 14.88 59.68 0.021 0.682 0.881
 America (n = 6) 1.33 (1.00–1.77) 0.047 39.30 87.28 <0.0001 0.970 0.348
Gender
 Women (n = 7) 1.01 (0.82–1.23) 0.945 13.47 55.47 0.036 0.481 0.293
 Men (n = 4) 1.21 (0.89–1.65) 0.226 6.96 56.91 0.073 0.163 0.042

a The analysis was performed when several data ≥3 were available; b The risk estimates were calculated using the random-effect model; c In brackets are indicated the number of data included in the analysis; d Studies were the risk was calculated on the base of one standard deviation increment.

In the “Healthy” pattern meta-analysis, the stratification by study design showed a significant reduced MetS risk in the cross-sectional studies only (Table 2). Stratifying the analysis by geographic area, MetS risk decreased significantly in Eastern countries (OR = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.71–0.86), particularly in Asia (OR = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.70–0.85). The preventive effect of the “Healthy” pattern resulted statistically significant in both sexes (Table 2).

In the “Meat/Western” pattern meta-analysis, the stratification by study design showed a significantly higher MetS risk in both cohort and cross-sectional studies (Table 2). Similarly, when stratifying the analysis by the geographic area the MetS risk significantly increased in Asia, America and Europe, and in Eastern and Western countries (Table 2). No significant association was found when stratifying by sex (Table 2).

The high heterogeneity in the pooled analysis of both “Healthy” and “Meat/Western” patterns was slightly reduced in the stratification by geographic area.

Sensitivity analyses suggested that the estimates were not substantially modified by any single study. Small changes were found in the risk estimates after removal of the outlier studies by Naja et al. [38] (OR = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.78–0.91) and by Nasreddine et al. [21] (OR = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.79–0.92) in the “Healthy” pattern analysis, and by Shokrzadeh et al. [55] (OR = 1.20; 95% CI: 1.09–1.32) and by Gadgil et al. [29] (OR = 1.23; 95% CI: 1.11–1.35) in the “Meat/Western” pattern analysis.

In the meta-analysis on the “Healthy” pattern, a significant publication bias was detected by the Egger’s test in the overall analysis (p = 0.005) and in cross-sectional studies (p = 0.016), but not by the Begg’s method (Table 2). In the analysis performed excluding the studies by Bell et al. [27], by Arisawa et al. [33] and by Panagiotakos et al. [52], the publication bias, although reduced, remained significant (p = 0.011) (Table 2). In the meta-analysis on “Meat/Western” pattern, a significant publication bias was detected by Egger’s method in the Eastern countries (p = 0.021) and by the Begg’s test in men (p = 0.042) (Table 2).

The funnel plots of the meta-analyses on the “Healthy” pattern and on the “Meat/Western” pattern are shown in Figure 3A,B, respectively.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Funnel plots of the meta-analyses on the Healthy” (A) and “Meat/Western” (B) dietary patterns.

4. Discussion

Our systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the effect of dietary patterns extracted via a posteriori methods on MetS risk. According to literature, several different health outcomes are associated with unhealthy and healthy dietary patterns. In particular, the Western/unhealthy pattern increases the risk of cancer in different sites [63,64,65,66,67,68] and the risk of low bone mineral density and osteoporotic fracture [69]. Moreover, the prudent/healthy pattern is associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease [70], diabetes mellitus [71,72], and cognitive decline and dementia [73].

Considering the 40 included articles, we identified two prevalent dietary patterns: “Healthy” and “Meat/Western”. The “Healthy” pattern was associated with a lower MetS risk and significantly decreased the risk in both sexes and in Eastern countries, particularly in Asia. Adherence to the “Meat/Western” pattern was positively associated with MetS risk and this association persisted in the stratified analysis by geographic area and study design. Similarly, the recent meta-analyses by Shab–Bidar et al. [15] and Rodríguez–Monforte et al. [16] showed that a Western/unhealthy pattern significantly increased MetS risk, whereas a prudent/healthy pattern significantly lowered MetS risk. In our study, MetS risk through unhealthy dietary patterns increased by 19%, while it increased by 22% in the study by Shab–Bidar et al. [15] and by 28% in the study by Rodríguez–Monforte et al. [16]. Healthy dietary patterns significantly decreased MetS risk by 15% in our analysis, by 11% in the meta-analysis by Shab–Bidar et al. [15] and by 17% in the meta-analysis by Rodríguez–Monforte et al. [16]. It should be noted that the meta-analysis of Shab–Bidar et al. [15] was performed on cross-sectional studies only and that Rodríguez–Monforte et al. [16] selected 31 studies including those which identified the dietary patterns via cluster analysis (a priori method).

According to our findings, the “Meat/Western” pattern significantly increased MetS risk of 20% in Asia, 15% in Europe and 33% in America. In dietary patterns derived a posteriori, the factor loadings indicate the most commonly consumed foods, reflecting the cultural influence on food consumption [74,75]. It is noteworthy that the usual diet of European populations, especially in Mediterranean countries, tend to include the consumption of healthy foods, such as seafood, vegetables, and fruit, whereas American populations mostly adhere to Westernized dietary patterns, containing high pro-inflammatory foods [76]. As reported in the study by Calton et al. [77], other pre-defined representative dietary patterns exist worldwide, such as the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet, which is characterized by high intake of fruit, vegetables, whole grains and dairy [78], and the Northern Europe dietary pattern, which is characterized by high intake of fruit, vegetables, legumes, low-fat dairy, fatty fish, oats, barley and almonds [79]. These patterns can affect MetS risk and should be evaluated when investigating the effect of the dietary patterns on developing MetS, as culture and society influence adherence to healthy or unhealthy dietary pattern [77]. Our study combined dietary patterns derived a posteriori from world countries with very different eating habits, in particular, traditional dietary patterns from Eastern Asian countries (Japan [33,35], China [25,30,56], Korea [24,28,34,36,39,40,43,45]), from Western Asian countries (Iran [19,46,51,54,55,58]), from the Mediterranean area (Greece [52], Lebanon [21,38]), from Northern Europe (Sweden [53]), from Middle Europe (Germany [44], Czech Republic [31] and Poland [20,22,32]), from North America (USA [29,37,49,50]), from South America (Brazil [42,57]), and from Australia [27]. Indeed, the traditional dietary pattern in Asian countries is characterized by high intake of rice and/or kimchi, fish and sea food, soybean and soybean products, mushrooms, vegetables, and fruit [24,28,34,39,40,43,56], in Poland by red meat, fish, potatoes, soup, refined grains and sugars, and high-fat milk [20,22], and in Iran by refined grains, nuts, eggs, vegetables and legumes, potatoes, and hydrogenated fats [51,58].

Despite the influence of sex-related factors on MetS [80], we observed no sex-related difference on the association of dietary pattern with MetS, but, notably, the “Healthy” pattern showed a stronger protective effect in women.

The “Meat/Western” pattern, characterized by high intake or red and processed meat, eggs, refined grains, and sweets, resulted associated with an increased (+19%) MetS risk. These foods plausibly represent the main cause of the observed effect on MetS risk, particularly meat [81,82], since refined carbohydrates, red and processed meats, and fried foods have pro-inflammatory properties and can increase inflammatory cytokines [83]. Indeed, although the meta-analysis by Namazi et al. [14] found no significant association between the most pro-inflammatory diet and MetS, inflammatory factors are involved in insulin resistance and lipid disorders [83].

Our results showed the association of the “Healthy” pattern with a lower (−15%) MetS risk. The healthy patterns are characterized by the consumption of foods with high content of vitamins, minerals, antioxidants, fiber, MUFA and n-3 fatty acids, which could contribute to explain the protective effect of the “Healthy” pattern on MetS. Indeed, higher adherence to healthy dietary patterns is associated with a lower risk of glucose intolerance, weight gain, inflammation, insulin resistance and a higher level of HDL cholesterol [84].

Limitations

The main limitation of our study is that the risk of developing MetS could be associated with dietary patterns other than the two (“Healthy” and “Meat/Western”) discussed in this meta-analysis. Differences in the populations in study and in the referral values for MetS diagnosis represent another study limitation and result in heterogeneity. Indeed, the high heterogeneity may be related to the wide variability in dietary data collection and analysis, in the various and not uniformly adjusted confounding factors, and in the identification of the dietary patterns. Heterogeneity is more evident in the analysis on “Meat/Western” pattern, as a possible consequence of the difficulty in characterizing this pattern across the selected studies. Another limitation is that pooled data were directly driven by the included studies, presenting their own weaknesses in study design. Moreover, the cross-sectional nature of many included studies precludes causal inference and the dietary pattern may represent a post hoc event. Only the OR of the highest and the lowest quantile of healthy or unhealthy dietary patterns were included in our analysis, limiting the evaluation of the presence of any trend. Finally, some studies reported risk estimates for quintiles, others for quartiles, and others for tertiles. As dietary intakes are influenced by sex, race/ethnicity, and societal factors, our findings should be considered in the different geographic contexts. Thus, these aspects may have affected the reproducibility of the association between dietary patterns and MetS.

To further advance this field of research, future studies are needed to examine the association between dietary patterns in geographic context not yet described and MetS, and to evaluate the impact of dietary patterns on the determinants of MetS.

5. Conclusions

A protective effect on MetS is attributed to adherence to the “Healthy” pattern, which is characterized by high consumption of fruit, vegetables, whole grains, poultry, fish, nuts, legumes, and low-fat dairy products, whereas the “Meat/Western” pattern is positively associated with MetS. Nutrition is one of the most important modifiable factors affecting health. Public health efforts should aim to adopt healthy dietary patterns and to reduce the burden of MetS, providing guidance for nutritional intervention. For further advance in research, more prospective studies are needed to investigate the association between dietary patterns and MetS in each gender and in different geographic context.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: Initiated by R.F., agreed by all other authors M.C. and G.N.; Methodology: from literature search to meta-analysis, R.F., M.C. and G.N.; Formal analysis: meta-analysis, R.F.; Data curation: M.C. and G.N.; Writing—original draft preparation, R.F., M.C. and G.N.; Writing—review and editing, R.F., M.C. and G.N.; Supervision, M.C.; Project administration, R.F.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest

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