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. 2019 Jun 24;25(9):3091–3109. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14669

Table 4.

Mean forage and herd characteristics under different intensification scenarios

  Baseline management Forage productivity ×1.5 Forage productivity ×2 Feed suppl. female only Feed suppl. female + male Combined forage productivity ×2 and feed suppl. female + male
Annual total standing dry matter (kg/ha) 1,902 (733) 2,855 (1,100) 3,808 (1,467) 1,798 (782) 1,695 (822) 3,402 (1,645)
Annual animal stocking rates (TLU/ha) 0.31 (0.20) 0.45 (0.29) 0.60 (0.39) 0.33 (0.16) 0.32 (0.15) 0.62 (0.30)
Interannual variation in total standing dry matter 0.36 (0.05) 0.36 (0.05) 0.36 (0.05) 0.45 (0.18) 0.64 (0.46) 0.64 (0.45)
Interannual variation in animal stocking rates 0.10 (0.02) 0.10 (0.02) 0.10 (0.02) 0.04 (0.01) 0.03 (0.01) 0.03 (0.01)
Animal mortality (TLU ha−1 year−1) 0.01 (0.01) 0.02 (0.01) 0.02 (0.01) 0.01 (0.00) 0.01 (0.00) 0.02 (0.01)
Annual animal mortality rate (%) 3.7 (0.00) 3.9 (0.00) 3.9 (0.00) 3.1 (0.00) 3.1 (0.00) 3.2 (0.00)
Animal liveweight gain (kg TLU−1 year−1) 130 (4.75) 131 (4.78) 131 (4.84) 135 (7.39) 143 (5.05) 143 (5.07)
Animal sales (TLU ha−1 year−1) 0.09 (0.06) 0.13 (0.09) 0.17 (0.12) 0.09 (0.05) 0.09 (0.05) 0.18 (0.10)
Annual animal sales rate (%) 28 (0.04) 29 (0.04) 30 (0.03) 30 (0.02) 30 (0.02) 31 (0.02)
Methane (kg CO2‐eq ha−1 year−1) 286 (191) 428 (287) 570 (383) 321 (170) 323 (160) 640 (321)
Methane intensity (kg CO2‐eq/kg liveweight sold) 14.1 (1.59) 13.8 (1.26) 13.6 (1.11) 13.8 (0.52) 14.5 (0.65) 14.1 (0.56)

Averages estimated over all 15 climate scenarios (Set 2 of climate scenarios, mean precipitation = 756 mm/year, CVP‐inter = 0.34, CVP‐intra = 0.83). Standard deviations for the set of climate scenarios are between parentheses.

Abbreviation: CVP‐inter, interannual coefficient of variation of precipitation; CVP‐intra, intra‐annual coefficient of variation of precipitation; TLU, tropical livestock units.