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. 2019 Oct 2;13(10):e0007731. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007731

Table 6. Comparison of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), likelihood ratio (LRs) and accuracy of different methods calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for MB, PB, and leprosy patients after MDT.

Result for specimen BI Simple PCR STNPCR SYBRGreen
(n = 43) Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative
MB (after MDT) Positive 7 7 3 11 6 8 7 7
MB (after MDT) Negative 0 29 0 29 0 29 0 29
Sensitivity (95% CI) 50(24.04–75.95) 21.42(5.70–51.1) 42.85(18.81–70.35) 50.00(24.04–75.95)
Specificity (95% CI) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100)
PPV (95% CI) 100(56.09–100) 100(30.99–100) 100(51.68–100) 100(56.09–100)
NPV (95% CI) 80.55(63.43–91.19) 72.50(55.86–84.85) 78.37(61.33–89.57) 80.55(63.43–91.1)
Positive Likelihood Ratio (LR+) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity)
Negative Likelihood Ratio (LR-) 50.00(29.61–84.42) 78.57(59.76–103.29) 57.14(36.30–89.94) 50.0(29.61–84.42)
Accuracy % 83.72 74.41 81.39 83.72
Result for specimen BI Simple PCR STNPCR SYBRGreen
(n = 44) Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative
PB (after MDT) Positive 0 15 2 13 4 11 3 12
PB (after MDT) Negative 0 29 0 29 0 29 0 29
Sensitivity (95% CI) 0(0–25.34) 13.33(2.34–41.61) 26.66(8.91–55.16) 20.00(5.31–48.62)
Specificity (95% CI) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100)
PPV (95% CI) NaN(NaN-NaN) 100(19.78–100) 100(39.57–100) 100(30.99–100)
NPV (95% CI) 65.90(49.99–79.06) 69.04(52.75–81.88) 72.50(55.86–84.85) 70.73(54.26–83.35)
Positive Likelihood Ratio (LR+) NaN(NaN-NaN) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity)
Negative Likelihood Ratio (LR-) 100(100–100) 86.66(71.06–105.69) 73.33(54.04–99.50) 80.00(62.11–103.03)
Accuracy % 65.90 70.45 75.00 72.72
Result for specimen BI Simple PCR STNPCR SYBRGreen
(n = 56) Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive Negative
Leprosy (after MDT) Positive 7 22 5 24 10 19 10 19
Leprosy (after MDT) Negative 0 29 0 29 0 29 0 29
Sensitivity (95% CI) 24.13(11.01–43.92) 17.24(6.52–36.48) 34.48(18.59–54.33) 34.48(18.59–54.33)
Specificity (95% CI) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100) 100(85.43–100)
PPV (95% CI) 100(56.09–100) 100(46.29–100) 100(65.54–100) 100(65.54–100)
NPV (95% CI) 50.00(36.73–63.26) 54.71(40.55–68.19) 60.41(45.29–73.88) 60.41(45.29–73.88)
Positive Likelihood Ratio (LR+) 56.86(42.32–70.37) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity) Infinity(NaN-Infinity)
Negative Likelihood Ratio (LR-) 100(100–100) 82.75(70.09–97.71) 65.51(50.31–85.31) 65.51(50.31–85.31)
Accuracy % 62.06 58.62 67.24 67.24