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. 2019 Feb 11;123(2):242–263. doi: 10.1038/s41437-019-0186-2

Table 5.

MLEs and 95% HPD intervals for demographic parameters based on pairwise IMa2 multilocus analyses

Comparison θ 1 θ 2 θ A m 1 m 2 t N 1 N 2 N A T (years) 2N1m1 2N2m2
N. incisum/ N. franchetii MLE 0.7250 0.5750 0.055 0.197 0.011 0.8530 3.13×105 2.48×105 2.37×104 4.42×106 0.07325 0.003578
HPD95Lo 0.535 0.405 0.015 0.077 0.0 0.5450 2.31 × 105 1.74 × 105 6.48 × 103 2.82 × 106 0.03009 0.0
HPD95Hi 0.935 0.775 1.235 0.405 0.179 1.287 4.03 × 105 3.34 × 105 5.33 × 105 6.67 × 106 0.1438 0.04995
N. incisum/ N. oviforme MLE 0.8750 0.6350 0.005 0.103 0.001 1.033 3.77×105 2.74×105 2.16×103 5.35×106 0.04583 0.0000975
HPD95Lo 0.665 0.455 0.0 0.035 0.0 0.6930 2.87 × 105 1.96 × 105 0.0 3.59 × 106 0.01685 0.0
HPD95Hi 1.105 0.865 1.465 0.223 0.083 1.505 4.77 × 105 3.73 × 105 6.32 × 105 7.79 × 106 0.09623 0.02642
N. incisum/N. forrestii MLE 1.085 0.2650 0.025 0.045 0.001 1.220 4.68×105 1.14×105 1.08×104 6.32×106 0.02522 0.0001475
HPD95Lo 0.8350 0.1350 0.015 0.005 0.0 0.6465 3.60 × 105 5.82 × 104 6.48 × 103 3.35 × 106 0.00221 0.0
HPD95Hi 1.365 0.4650 2.955 0.1370 0.327 2.264 5.89 × 105 2.01 × 105 1.27 × 106 1.17 × 107 0.07183 0.04115
N. franchetii/N. oviforme MLE 0.9875 0.8725 0.1625 1.028 0.3725 0.3365 4.26×105 3.76×105 7.02×104 1.74×106 0.5232 0.1714
HPD95Lo 0.7025 0.6175 0.0075 0.3975 0.0 0.1925 3.03 × 105 2.67 × 105 3.24 × 103 9.97 × 105 0.2220 0.0
HPD95Hi 1.383 1.228 0.5525 2.132 1.058 0.5945 5.97 × 105 5.30 × 105 2.38 × 105 3.08 × 106 1.019 0.4596
N. franchetii/N. forrestii MLE 0.7150 0.2650 0.005 0.035 0.001 0.8590 3.08×105 1.14×105 2.16×103 4.45×106 0.01334 0.0001225
HPD95Lo 0.5050 0.1350 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5410 2.18 × 105 5.83 × 104 0.0 2.80 × 106 0.0 0.0
HPD95Hi 0.9650 0.4450 1.045 0.1590 0.2690 1.249 4.16 × 105 1.92 × 105 4.51 × 105 6.47 × 106 0.05514 0.03565
N. oviforme/N. forrestii MLE 0.8650 0.3750 0.015 0.0295 0.0005 0.8470 3.73×105 1.62×105 6.48×103 4.39×106 0.01348 0.0001888
HPD95Lo 0.5850 0.1950 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5130 2.52 × 105 8.42 × 104 0.0 2.66 × 106 0.0 0.0
HPD95Hi 1.195 0.6150 0.9450 0.1635 0.2885 1.231 5.16 × 105 2.65 × 105 4.08 × 105 6.38 × 106 0.06943 0.05379

θ1, θ2, θA, m1, m2, and t are scaled by the mutation rate, whereas N1, N2, NA, 2N1m1, 2N2m2, and T are scaled by individuals or years. All estimates include the per gene mutation rate (μ), which is equal to the geometric mean of the mutation rate of all loci. θ1, N1 effective population size of the first species; θ2, N2 effective population size of the second species; θA, NA effective population size of ancestral population; HPD highest posterior density, m1 population migration rate from the second to the first species; m2 population migration rate from the first to the second species; MLE maximum-likelihood estimate, t, T time since species divergence