Table 2. Changes in attributable number and fraction (95% eCI)* of temperature-related MI cases per decade in Augsburg assuming global warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C.

Global warming	Attributable number			Attributable fraction (%)
	Heat	Cold	Net change	Heat	Cold	Net change
1.5 °C	17 [−1; 46]	−24 [−87; 32]	−6 [−60; 50]	0.2 [0; 0.5]	−0.2 [−0.9; 0.3]	−0.1 [−0.6; 0.5]
2 °C	54 [1; 124]	−36 [−101; 43]	18 [−64; 117]	0.6 [0; 1.3]	−0.4 [−1.0; 0.4]	0.2 [−0.7; 1.2]
3 °C	109 [4; 313]	−46 [−142; 56]	63 [−83; 257]	1.1 [0; 3.2]	−0.5 [−1.5; 0.6]	0.7 [−0.9; 2.7]

*The 95% eCI (empirical confidence interval) was obtained by considering the uncertainty of concentration–response function using 5000 Monte Carlo simulations and four global climate models.

Explanation: Global warming of 2 °C, for example, is associated with 54 additional heat-related events and 36 fewer cold-related events, resulting in a net change of 18 additional temperature-related events per decade. Thus, 0.2% of all MI cases can be attributed to global warming.