Table 3.
Preventable premature deaths (from 30 to 69 years) from cancer (breast and colon), diabetes and cardiovascular disease (IHD and stroke) by increasing population-wide physical activity in Brazil
| Outcomes | Total premature deaths (n)a | TMREL (≥8000 MET-min/week) | PA recommendation (≥600 MET-min/week) | 10% reduction in insufficient physical activityb | Gender equality | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAF | Preventable premature deaths (n) | PIF | Preventable premature deaths (n) | PIF | Preventable premature deaths (n) | PIF | Preventable premature deaths (n) | ||
| Breast cancer | |||||||||
| Both | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Men | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Women | 10 480 | 11.79 | 1236 | 1.65 | 173 | 0.16 | 17 | 1.18 | 124 |
| Colon cancer | |||||||||
| Both | 5313 | 17.14 | 908 | 4.47 | 237 | 0.45 | 24 | 1.15 | 58 |
| Men | 2624 | 16.18 | 425 | 4.15 | 109 | 0.42 | 11 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 2689 | 17.99 | 484 | 4.76 | 128 | 0.48 | 13 | 2.16 | 58 |
| Diabetes | |||||||||
| Both | 22 618 | 20.22 | 4548 | 7.05 | 1583 | 0.70 | 158 | 1.47 | 299 |
| Men | 11 748 | 19.04 | 2236 | 6.56 | 771 | 0.66 | 77 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 10 870 | 21.26 | 2311 | 7.48 | 813 | 0.75 | 81 | 2.75 | 299 |
| IHDc | |||||||||
| Both | 51 566 | 15.96 | 8038 | 4.51 | 2262 | 0.45 | 226 | 1.17 | 375 |
| Men | 34 514 | 14.97 | 5167 | 4.18 | 1444 | 0.42 | 144 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 17 048 | 16.84 | 2871 | 4.79 | 817 | 0.48 | 82 | 2.20 | 375 |
| Stroke | |||||||||
| Both | 11 817 | 17.00 | 1984 | 7.04 | 819 | 0.70 | 82 | 1.11 | 102 |
| Men | 6917 | 16.07 | 1111 | 6.53 | 452 | 0.65 | 45 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 4899 | 17.82 | 873 | 7.49 | 367 | 0.75 | 37 | 2.08 | 102 |
| Major NCDs | |||||||||
| Both | 290 874 | 5.75 | 16 714 | 1.74 | 5073 | 0.17 | 507 | 0.33 | 958 |
| Men | 163 881 | 5.45 | 8939 | 1.69 | 2775 | 0.17 | 278 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 126 963 | 6.12 | 7775 | 1.81 | 2298 | 0.18 | 230 | 0.75 | 958 |
| All-cause mortality | |||||||||
| Both | 517 134 | 3.23 | 16 714 | 0.98 | 5073 | 0.10 | 507 | 0.19 | 958 |
| Men | 325 583 | 2.75 | 8939 | 0.85 | 2775 | 0.09 | 278 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Women | 191 477 | 4.06 | 7775 | 1.20 | 2298 | 0.12 | 230 | 0.50 | 958 |
Abbreviation: IHD, Ischemic heart disease. Major NCDs: non-communicable diseases targeted by the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan for 2025 were diabetes (ICD E10-E14), cardiovascular diseases (ICD I00-I99), cancer (ICD C00-C97) and chronic respiratory diseases (ICD J30-J98); PA, physical activity; TMREL, theoretical minimum risk exposure level; PIF, potential impact fraction.
aNationwide deaths in 2015 among people aged 30–69.
bInactivity defined as ≤600 MET-min/week.
cBoth sex category does not sum-up sex-specific number of deaths due to missing information about sex (4 deaths for IHD; 1 death for stroke; 74 deaths for all-cause mortality).