Table 3.
Observations | Median Delay (days) | Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crude HR | 95% CI | P-Value | Adjusted HR | 95% CI | P-Value | |||
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 305 | 14 | 0.89 | 0.77–1.04 | 0.14 | |||
Male | 398 | 7 | Reference | |||||
Age group | ||||||||
<15 years | 77 | 19 | 0.84 | 0.66–1.08 | 0.17 | |||
15–65 years | 395 | 13 | Reference | |||||
>65 years | 231 | 7 | 1.08 | 0.92–1.28 | 0.33 | |||
Residential location | ||||||||
Bellarine Peninsula | 113 | 0 | 2.63 | 2.09–3.30 | <0.001 | 3.18 | 2.47–4.09 | <0.001 |
Mornington Peninsula | 198 | 0 | 1.97 | 1.63–2.37 | <0.001 | 1.94 | 1.60–2.35 | <0.001 |
South-East Bayside | 52 | 20.5 | 1.04 | 0.77–1.39 | 0.82 | 1.07 | 0.79–1.44 | 0.67 |
Frankston area | 58 | 16 | 1.17 | 0.88–1.55 | 0.28 | 1.21 | 0.91–1.61 | 0.19 |
Other (non-endemic) | 282 | 29 | Reference | Reference | ||||
Lesion location | ||||||||
Upper limb | 167 | 12 | Reference | |||||
Lower limb | 425 | 13 | 1.02 | 0.85–1.22 | 0.823 | |||
Other * | 91 | 6 | 1.14 | 0.88–1.47 | 0.32 | |||
Manifestation | ||||||||
Ulcer | 549 | 10 | Reference | |||||
Non-ulcer † | 138 | 13.5 | 0.95 | 0.79–1.15 | 0.60 | |||
Year of notification | ||||||||
Increasing from 2011 | 703 | - | 1.03 | 0.99–1.06 | 0.19 | 1.09 | 1.04–1.13 | <0.001 |
WHO lesion category | ||||||||
I | 539 | 9 | 1.26 | 1.01–1.58 | 0.04 | |||
II | 91 | 19 | Reference | |||||
III | 55 | 31 | 0.87 | 0.62–1.22 | 0.41 |
* includes lesions on areas of the body other than limbs, and lesions in multiple locations (including limbs). † includes all non-ulcerative Buruli ulcer manifestations. HR = hazard rate CI = confidence interval. Bold type indicates significance for inclusion in the full and main effects models.