Table 5. Comparison between projected suicide rates (per 100,000 population) for 2020* and the World Health Organization (WHO) Mental Health Action Plan target† for women, stratified by age group.
| Region | 15-29 years | 30-39 years | 40-59 years | ≥ 60 years | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection 2020 | WHO 2020 | Projection 2020 | WHO 2020 | Projection 2020 | WHO 2020 | Projection 2020 | WHO 2020 | |
| Brazil | 2.36 | 2.02 | 2.97 | 2.24 | 3.73 | 3.19 | 2.85 | 2.80 |
| North | ||||||||
| Acre | 2.89 | 4.93 | 3.61 | 3.15 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Amapá | 0.83 | 2.54 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 3.07 | 1.46 | 0.00 |
| Amazonas | 7.57 | 4.24 | 3.20 | 3.39 | 6.11 | 0.56 | 1.18 | 2.39 |
| Pará | 2.57 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 1.27 | 0.96 | 1.57 |
| Rondônia | 3.12 | 1.50 | 5.20 | 4.48 | 3.01 | 2.01 | 1.84 | 0.00 |
| Roraima | 5.68 | 5.09 | 4.18 | 5.03 | 2.12 | 2.23 | 2.71 | 7.61 |
| Tocantins | 2.79 | 3.54 | 2.96 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 5.91 | 1.53 |
| Northeast | ||||||||
| Alagoas | 2.63 | 1.80 | 1.68 | 1.02 | 4.02 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 2.24 |
| Bahia | 1.52 | 1.13 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.23 | 1.95 | 2.06 | 2.46 |
| Ceará | 2.36 | 2.69 | 2.91 | 2.49 | 3.47 | 3.35 | 5.36 | 3.76 |
| Maranhão | 2.12 | 1.80 | 1.65 | 0.52 | 2.73 | 1.95 | 2.22 | 2.45 |
| Paraíba | 3.39 | 2.10 | 0.96 | 2.24 | 3.80 | 2.92 | 2.24 | 2.90 |
| Pernambuco | 0.13 | 1.64 | 2.07 | 0.83 | 2.40 | 1.89 | 4.84 | 1.81 |
| Piauí | 2.75 | 3.63 | 2.40 | 3.10 | 6.00 | 1.61 | 4.09 | 7.79 |
| Rio Grande do Norte | 1.83 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.68 | 2.48 | 2.64 | 2.97 | 3.18 |
| Sergipe | 1.30 | 3.26 | 0.00 | 1.99 | 2.96 | 4.23 | 5.38 | 2.52 |
| Center-West | ||||||||
| Distrito Federal | 2.50 | 2.46 | 2.28 | 3.65 | 3.56 | 2.60 | 2.11 | 1.30 |
| Mato Grosso | 0.00 | 1.93 | 1.76 | 2.11 | 3.46 | 5.69 | 2.86 | 2.79 |
| Mato Grosso do Sul | 5.44 | 4.89 | 3.44 | 5.74 | 3.42 | 3.59 | 3.80 | 3.33 |
| Goiás | 2.89 | 2.36 | 3.53 | 2.33 | 3.88 | 4.37 | 2.99 | 3.36 |
| Southeast | ||||||||
| Espírito Santo | 1.76 | 0.74 | 6.18 | 4.02 | 4.11 | 4.08 | 2.26 | 3.60 |
| Minas Gerais | 1.14 | 2.05 | 2.42 | 2.34 | 5.84 | 4.19 | 5.43 | 2.76 |
| Rio de Janeiro | 1.34 | 1.08 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.91 | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| São Paulo | 3.95 | 1.96 | 0.15 | 2.05 | 2.84 | 2.94 | 2.25 | 2.07 |
| South | ||||||||
| Paraná | 2.03 | 1.78 | 3.44 | 2.40 | 3.56 | 3.52 | 2.63 | 2.68 |
| Santa Catarina | 2.71 | 1.70 | 7.58 | 3.67 | 10.45 | 6.75 | 5.33 | 5.70 |
| Rio Grande do Sul | 4.05 | 3.17 | 4.22 | 3.87 | 7.92 | 5.77 | 6.54 | 6.23 |
Using polynomial regression models and a 1997-2015 time series.
WHO Mental Health Action Plan target: a 10% reduction in suicide rate by 2020, using 2013-year rates as baseline.