Table 1.
Breast cancer age-standardised incidence rates in 1990, 2016 and joinpoint trend analysis between 1990 and 2016 by SDI settings
1990 | 2016 | Trend 1 | Trend 2 | Trend 3 | AAPC (%) | ||||||||
Case | ASR | 95% UI | Case | ASR | 95% UI | Period | APC (%) | Period | APC (%) | Period | APC (%) | ||
Global | 815.4 | 41.0 | 39.8–43.1 | 1681.9 | 45.6 | 43.6–48.2 | 1990–1995 | 1.5* | 1995–2000 | 0.2* | 2000–2016 | 0.1* | 0.4* |
High SDI | 463.0 | 83.6 | 82.0–85.1 | 719.4 | 88.9 | 86.5–93.0 | 1990–1995 | 1.3* | 1995–2000 | 0.2* | 2000–2016 | −0.1* | 0.2* |
High-middle SDI | 153.1 | 37.1 | 36.0–38.6 | 329.0 | 46.5 | 42.9–50.5 | 1990–1995 | 3.2* | 1995–2016 | 0.4* | 0.9* | ||
Middle SDI | 116.0 | 19.3 | 18.1–22.1 | 408.8 | 33.2 | 30.4–36.0 | 1990–2000 | 2.6* | 2000–2009 | 2.0* | 2009–2016 | 1.5* | 2.1* |
Low-middle SDI | 69.7 | 17.7 | 14.9–21.9 | 187.0 | 23.1 | 21.1–27.8 | 1990–1999 | 1.3* | 1999–2010 | 0.4* | 2010–2016 | 1.8* | 1* |
Low SDI | 15.6 | 16.3 | 13.6–20.9 | 37.0 | 18.8 | 17.1–20.8 | 1990–1995 | 0.9* | 1995–2010 | 0.3* | 2010–2016 | 0.8* | 0.5* |
*P<0.05.
AAPC, average annual percent change; APC, annual percent change; ASR, age-standardised rate; SDI, sociodemographic index; 95% UI, 95% uncertainty interval.