Table 4.
Conditional Logit (CL) Model | Choice Set Formation (CSF) Model | CSF Coefficient In/Out of CL 95 % Confidence Interval? | |
---|---|---|---|
Staying in Current House | |||
Household head is black | 0.969** | 0.115 | Out |
Household head is Asian | 0.519 | −0.24 | In |
Household head is Hispanic | 2.966** | 2.065** | Out |
Household head has <high school education | 0.519* | 0.423 | In |
Household head’s age | 1.440 | 1.428 | In |
Household head’s age squared | 2.436 | 3.329 | In |
Number of children | −0.138* | −0.140* | In |
Number of school-aged children | 0.304* | 0.311† | In |
End of a cohabitation relationship | −0.436† | −0.603* | In |
Start of a cohabitation relationship | −1.203** | −1.377** | In |
Loss of job | −0.381* | −0.445† | In |
Gain of job | −0.309 | –0.190 | In |
Job change | −0.316** | –0.357** | In |
Ln[Duration of tenure (days)] | 0.176** | 0.164* | In |
What Neighborhoods to Consider | |||
Region consideration likelihood | |||
Average propensity to consider any geographic region | 2.756** | ||
Average propensity to include current housing unit in choice set | 10 (––)a | ||
Distance in miles from origin region | −11.776** | ||
Affordability stratum likelihood | |||
Tau 1 | 0 (––)a | ||
Tau 2 | 1.764** | ||
Tau 3 | 3.711** | ||
Household income | 3.400** | ||
Ratio of household income to household size | 1.1 | ||
Region scale factors (natural logarithm) | |||
Antelope Valley | –0.502** | ||
Downtown | 0.351** | ||
San Fernando Valley | −0.007 | ||
San Gabriel Valley | −0.043 | ||
Westside | −0.011 | ||
South Bay | −0.04 | ||
South Central | 0.229* | ||
Stay at current residence | 0 (––)a | ||
Affordability stratum scale factors (natural logarithm) | |||
Stratum 1 | −0.215 | ||
Stratum 2 | −0.144 | ||
Stratum 3 | −0.097 | ||
Stratum 4 | 0 (––)a | ||
Neighborhood Choice Conditional on Choice Set | |||
Intercept | −11.298** | −10.660** | In |
Median income | 5.824** | 2.894† | Out |
Income surplus | −1.483* | −1.234 | In |
Income deficit | 1.099 | 3.015** | Out |
Median housing unit price | −5.211** | 0.235 | Out |
% <High school education | 2.375* | 1.509 | In |
<High school education × % <high school education | 1.978** | 1.595* | In |
% Black | −5.985** | −2.239 | Out |
% Black, squared | 5.488* | 1.268 | In |
% Hispanic | −0.555 | 0.113 | In |
% Hispanic, squared | −2.321 | −1.783 | In |
% Asian | −4.795** | −1.459 | Out |
% Asian, squared | 5.628* | 1.717 | In |
Household head is black × % Black | 10.698** | 4.543 | Out |
Household head is black × % Black, squared | −10.819* | −2.165 | In |
Household head is Hispanic × % Hispanic | 9.024** | 5.788** | In |
Household head is Hispanic × % Hispanic, squared | −5.998** | −3.247† | In |
Household head is Asian × % Asian | 7.747* | 1.698 | In |
Household head is Asian × % Asian, squared | −10.760† | −0.702 | In |
Origin | 1.540** | 1.367** | In |
Distance from origin community area | −25.428** | −27.906** | In |
Distance from origin community area, squared | 30.219** | 34.945** | In |
Size | 1 (––)a | 1 (––)a | |
N | 1,298 | 1,298 |
Note: Observations are individual two-year interval-potential destinations.
The coefficient is fixed by the analyst.
p ≤ .10;
p ≤ .05;
p ≤ .01