Table 2. Estimated probability1 of household and community transmission and the relative risk of household to community infection.
Values in parenthesis are the 95% credible intervals.
| Probability of Household infection | Probability of community infection | RR (pH/pC) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZIL | |||
| Young children | 0.47 (0.21, 0.64) | 0.13 (0.02, 0.38) | 3.69 (0.59, 31.78) |
| Older children | 0.51 (0.34, 0.63) | 0.13 (0.03, 0.28) | 3.84 (1.23, 23.09) |
| Adults | 0.28 (0.13, 0.65) | 0.50 (0.14, 0.64) | 0.56 (0.20, 4.71) |
| UGANDA, OVERALL | |||
| Young children | 0.36 (0.18, 0.56) | 0.26 (0.07, 0.44) | 1.36 (0.42, 8.47) |
| Older children | 0.36 (0.19, 0.59) | 0.35 (0.11, 0.51) | 1.02 (0.40, 5.12) |
| Adults | 0.32 (0.13, 0.67) | 0.46 (0.11, 0.65) | 0.70 (0.20, 5.98) |
| UGANDA, HIV+ | |||
| Young children | 0.46 (0.22, 0.62) | 0.15 (0.02, 0.38) | 3.21 (0.57, 26.76) |
| Older children | 0.39 (0.19, 0.59) | 0.28 (0.08, 0.47) | 1.35 (0.42, 7.49) |
| Adults | 0.31 (0.10, 0.65) | 0.42 (0.09, 0.63) | 0.73 (0.16, 7.46) |
| UGANDA, HIV- | |||
| Young children | 0.23 (0.00, 0.47) | 0.40 (0.18, 0.63) | 0.57 (0.00, 2.58) |
| Older children | 0.24 (0.08, 0.53) | 0.49 (0.19, 0.64) | 0.48 (0.12, 2.83) |
| Adults | 0.19 (0.01, 0.58) | 0.64 (0.25, 0.80) | 0.30 (0.02, 2.28) |
1 Results obtained from fitting a multivariate UPM model adjusted for lung cavitations on chest X-ray, AFB smear status, BCG scar, sharing a room with index case and household contact gender.