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. 2019 Apr 12;20(11):1239–1247. doi: 10.1093/ehjci/jez070

Table 4.

Predictive values for CIMT, MPH, TPA, and IPN when used to predict CAD

Variables (N = 459) AUC Cut-off Significant CAD Non-significant CAD PPV (%) NPV (%) Sens (%) Spec (%) LR+ (%) LR− (%)
A. For predicting (≥50% stenosis)
 CIMT 0.625 ≥0.80 mm TP 132 FP 43 75 46 46 75 189 71
<0.80 mm FN 152 TN 132
 MPH 0.661 ≥2.41 mm TP 186 FP 72 72 51 65 59 159 59
<2.41 mm FN 98 TN 103
 TPA 0.665 ≥27.6 mm2 TP 216 FP 83 72 58 76 53 160 46
<27.6 mm2 FN 68 TN 92
 aIPN 0.94 ≥1.25 TP 260 FP 20 93 87 92 89 801 10
<1.25 FN 24 TN 155
B. For predicting severe CAD (≥70% stenosis)
 CIMT 0.603 ≥0.75 mm TP 137 FP 85 62 55 56 61 143 72
<0.75 mm FN 106 TN 131
 MPH 0.643 ≥2.42 mm TP 161 FP 94 63 60 66 56 152 60
<2.42 mm FN 82 TN 122
 TPA 0.667 ≥24.8 mm2 TP 201 FP 117 63 70 83 46 153 38
<24.8 mm2 FN 42 TN 99
 aIPN 0.853 ≥1.25 TP 224 FP 56 80 89 92 74 356 11
<1.25 FN 19 TN 160

aIPN, average intraplaque neovascularization; AUC, area under the curve; CIMT, carotid intima-media thickness; FN, false negatives; FP, false positives; LR−, negative likelihood ratio; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; MPH, maximum plaque height; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; sens, sensitivity; spec, specificity; TN, true negatives; TP, true positives; TPA, total plaque area.