Table 4. Model selection statistics for mosquito biting rates.

Model		DIC*	Marginal likelihood	Model complexity*	RMSE*	Mean log-score (CPO)
M1	No spatial or temporal effect	2367.03	−1196.61	4.12	4.99	3.61
M2	Spatial effect only	2292.97	−1175.47	40.03	4.42	4.16
M3	Spatial effect + month as fixed effect	2282.88	−1173.68	43.99	4.24	3.90
M4	Spatial effect + month as random effect	2222.89	−1155.91	50.28	4.05	3.61
M5	Spatial effect + month as random walk	2225.43	−1167.79	47.55	4.09	3.63