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. 2019 Jun 26;73(10):906–912. doi: 10.1136/jech-2019-212372

Table 2.

Adjusted HRs of disability incidence by physical and social activity

N=5434; 402 438 person-months No (cases/censored) Person-months Model 1 P for trend Model 2 P for trend
Physical
Vigorous activity
 Less than once a month 1163/2855 5.5 (5.3–5.8) 1 (Ref) <0.001 1 (Ref) <0.001
 One to three times a month 224/709 4.4 (3.9–4.9) 0.83 (0.71– 0.96 ) 0.82 (0.71– 0.96 )
 Once a week 193/656 4.2 (3.7–4.7) 0.82 (0.70– 0.96 ) 0.82 (0.70– 0.96 )
 More than once a week 310/1214 3.6 (3.3–4.0) 0.76 (0.66– 0.87 ) 0.77 (0.67– 0.88 )
Moderate activity
 Less than once a month 202/411 6.3 (5.7–7.0) 1 (Ref) 0.007 1 (Ref) 0.01
 One to three times a month 141/355 5.4 (4.8–6.2) 0.89 (0.70–1.12) 0.89 (0.70–1.12)
 Once a week 315/816 5.3 (4.8–5.7) 0.86 (0.70–1.06) 0.88 (0.72–1.08)
 More than once a week 1234/3852 4.5 (4.3–4.7) 0.80 (0.66– 0.96 ) 0.81 (0.67– 0.97 )
Mild activity
 Less than once a month 95/210 5.9 (5.1–6.8) 1 (Ref) 0.67 1 (Ref) 0.79
 One to three times a month 55/172 4.3 (3.4–5.4) 1.05 (0.73–1.50) 1.03 (0.72–1.47)
 Once a week 176/466 5.1 (4.6–5.7) 1.11 (0.84–1.46) 1.12 (0.86–1.48)
 More than once a week 1566/4586 4.7 (4.5–4.9) 1.01 (0.79–1.28) 1.02 (0.80–1.30)
Social
Cultural engagement
 Never 526/1166 5.7 (5.4–6.1) 1 (Ref) < 0. 001 1 (Ref) <0.001
 Less than once a year 388/1049 5.1 (4.7–5.5) 0.90 (0.78–1.04) 0.92 (0.80–1.07)
 Once or twice a year 474/1501 4.4 (4.1–4.8) 0.81 (0.71– 0.94 ) 0.84 (0.73– 0.97 )
 Every few months or more 504/1718 4.2 (3.9–4.5) 0.79 (0.68– 0.91 ) 0.80 (0.70– 0.93 )
Community group engagement
 Never 823/2113 5.2 (4.9–5.5) 1 (Ref) 0.27 1 (Ref) 0.47
 Less than once a year 394/1278 4.3 (4.0–4.7) 0.87 (0.76– 0.99 ) 0.88 (0.77–1.00)
 Once or twice a year 210/582 4.9 (4.5–5.5) 0.95 (0.80–1.11) 0.96 (0.82–1.13)
 Every few months or more 464/1461 4.5 (4.2–4.9) 0.92 (0.81–1.04) 0.93 (0.82–1.06)
Social engagement
 Less than once a month 193/522 4.9 (4.4–5.5) 1 (Ref) 0.75 1 (Ref) 0.76
 Once or twice a month 280/840 4.7 (4.3–5.2) 1.00 (0.83–1.21) 1.01 (0.84–1.22)
 Once or twice a week 857/2453 4.8 (4.6–5.1) 1.01 (0.86–1.20) 1.02 (0.97–1.21)
 Three or more times a week 562/1619 4.8 (4.5–5.1) 0.99 (0.83–1.18) 0.99 (0.83–1.18)

Model 1 adjusted for sex, age, marital status, ethnicity, educational attainment, employment status and wealth. Model 2 additionally adjusted for eyesight, chronic pain, depression, smoking, alcohol consumption and presence of a chronic condition, including cancer, COPD, arthritis, stroke, diabetes and angina.

Bold values indicate p<0.05.

COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; Ref, reference.