Table 3.
Projected Residual Cumulative Incidence (%) of PAD in the United States Across Different Scenarios of Demographic and Clinical Factors
| Demographic and clinical factors | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Age 45 y | ||
| Whites | ||
| Nonsmoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 11.3 | 13.4 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 16.4 | 19.2 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 20.5 | 23.7 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 28.4 | 32.4 |
| Current smoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 28.4 | 32.4 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 37.8 | 42.4 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 44.4 | 49.1 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 55.0 | 59.7 |
| Blacks | ||
| Nonsmoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 19.9 | 17.7 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 27.6 | 24.8 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 33.3 | 30.2 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 43.4 | 39.9 |
| Current smoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 43.4 | 39.9 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 54.1 | 50.5 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 60.7 | 57.2 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 70.4 | 67.2 |
| Age 65 y | ||
| Whites | ||
| Nonsmoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 11.7 | 12.1 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 14.8 | 15.3 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 21.1 | 21.7 |
| Current smoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 21.1 | 21.7 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 29.1 | 29.8 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 35.0 | 35.8 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 45.3 | 46.1 |
| Blacks | ||
| Nonsmoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 16.8 | 12.9 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 23.7 | 18.6 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 29.0 | 23.0 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 38.5 | 31.5 |
| Current smoker | ||
| No history of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 38.5 | 31.5 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 49.0 | 41.4 |
| History of CHD or stroke | ||
| No diabetes mellitus | 55.8 | 48.1 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 66.0 | 58.7 |
Scenarios are all for a systolic blood pressure of 130 mmHg, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol of 50 mg/dL, and total cholesterol of 200 mg/dL. CHD indicates coronary heart disease; PAD, peripheral artery disease.