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. 2019 Oct 4;8(20):e012253. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.012253

Table 3.

Predictors of Post‐Blanking Atrial Arrhythmia Relapse After an Ablation Procedure

Variable Univariate Cox Regression Multivariate Cox Regression—1 Multivariate Cox Regression—2
HR 95% CI P Value HR 95% CI P Value HR 95% CI P Value
Age (per y) 1.01 1.00 to 1.02 0.008 1.00 0.99 to 1.01 0.441
Female sex 1.20 1.02 to 1.41 0.024 1.07 0.89 to 1.29 0.454
AF duration (per y) 1.03 1.02 to 1.04 <0.001 1.03 1.02 to 1.04 <0.001 1.02 1.01 to 1.03 0.001
Paroxysmal AF 0.52 0.45 to 0.60 <0.001 0.53 0.46 to 0.61 <0.001 0.54 0.45 to 0.66 <0.001
Congestive heart failure 1.58 1.24 to 2.00 <0.001
Hypertension 1.23 1.06 to 1.43 0.007
Diabetes mellitus 1.44 1.14 to 1.81 0.002 1.33 1.05 to 1.67 0.016 1.36 1.03 to 1.78 0.027
Stroke or TIA 1.31 1.00 to 1.61 0.051
Vascular disease 1.19 0.94 to 1.53 0.155
Obstructive sleep apnea 1.48 1.15 to 1.91 0.003 1.32 1.03 to 1.69 0.028 1.21 0.92 to 1.58 0.176
CHA2DS2‐VASc 1.13 1.07 to 1.19 <0.001
BMI (per kg/m2) 1.01 1.00 to 1.01 0.044 1.01 1.00 to 1.02 0.017 1.03 1.01 to 1.05 0.001
eGFR (per mL/min) 0.99 0.99 to 1.00 0.073
Indexed LA volume (per mL/m2) 1.01 1.01 to 1.02 <0.001 1.01 1.00 to 1.01 0.002
LVEF (per %) 0.99 0.98 to 0.99 0.002 1.00 0.99 to 1.01 0.773
Cryoballoon ablation 0.92 0.78 to 1.08 0.293
Class I or III ADDs on discharge 1.59 1.37 to 1.85 <0.001 1.24 1.02 to 1.51 0.030
Center case‐load (per 100 ablations/y) 0.94 0.91 to 0.97 <0.001 0.94 0.91 to 0.97 <0.001 1.28 1.09 to 1.50 0.003

Model 2 was created using the previously identified predictors, with additional adjustment for age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, left atrium volume, and use of anti‐arrhythmic drugs on discharge. AAD indicates anti‐arrhythmic drugs; AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CHA2DS2‐VASc, cardiac failure or dysfunction, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], diabetes mellitus, stroke [doubled]‐vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, sex category [female]; HR, hazard ratio; LA, left atrium; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; TIA, transitory ischemic attack.