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. 2017 Aug 30;25(2):273–282. doi: 10.1080/13218719.2017.1364676

Table 4.

Area under the curve values for the HCR–20 across reconviction categories.

  Any reconviction
Any violent reconviction
Physically violent reconviction
Fear-inducing violent reconviction
  AUC SE 95% CI AUC SE 95% CI AUC SE 95% CI AUC SE 95% CI
HCR–20 Total .76* .045 [.66, .84] .68* .057 [.56, .79] .64* .063 [.52, .77] .66* .065 [.54, .79]
 Historical .78* .044 [.69, .87] .66* .059 [.54, .77] .62 .065 [.49, .75] .62 .069 [.48, .75]
 Clinical .56 .054 [.46, .67] .57 .061 [.45, .69] .56 .064 [.44, .69] .59 .068 [.46, .72]
 Risk .71* .048 [.62, .81] .67* .057 [.55, .78] .64* .065 [.52, .78] .67* .064 [.54, .79]

Note: HCR–20 = Historical Clinical Risk Management–20; AUC = area under the curve; CI = confidence interval.

*p < .05 level (two-tailed). **p < .01 level (two-tailed).