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. 2016 Nov 28;24(3):410–427. doi: 10.1080/13218719.2016.1247640

Table 5.

Predictive accuracy of static and dynamic risk measures for inpatient aggression in the total sample.

  Up to 1 month
Up to 3 months
Up to 6 months
Measure AUC (SE) 95% CI AUC (SE) 95% CI AUC (SE) 95% CI
Interpersonal violence            
 (s) H Scale .63 (.11) [.42, .84] .68 (.08) [.52, .83] .64 (.08) [.48, .80]
 (s) PCL-R .59 (.08) [.43, .75] .58 (.07) [.43, .72] .56 (.07) [.42, .70]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .89* (.05) [.80, .98] .82* (.07) [.69, .94] .80* (.06) [.67, .92]
 (d) C Scale .93* (.04) [.85, 1.00] .86* (.07) [.72, 1.00] .84* (.07) [.71, .97]
 (d) R Scale .85* (.06) [.74, .97] .73* (.09) [.56, .90] .73* (.08) [.57, .88]
 (d) C+R Scale .92* (.04) [.85, .99] .82* (.07) [.69, .94] .81* (.06) [.68, .94]
 (d) START .94* (.03) [.87, 1.00] .85* (.06) [.72, .96] .84* (.06) [.72, .95]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .90* (.05) [.79, 1.00] .84* (.06) [.72, .96] .83* (.06) [.72, .94]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .95* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .83* (.08) [.68, .99] .83* (.07) [.68, .97]
 (d) DRS .89* (.04) [.81, .98] .78* (.08) [.63, .93] .78* (.07) [.64, .92]
Verbal threat            
 (s) H Scale .54 (.10) [.35, .73] .55 (.09) [.37, .73] .58 (.08) [.42, .74]
 (s) PCL-R .61 (.10) [.42, .80] .67* (.08) [.51, .83] .68* (.07) [.54, .83]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .80* (.06) [.68, .92] .80* (.05) [.70, .90] .74* (.07) [.61, .86]
 (d) C Scale .86* (.06) [.67, .91] .80* (.06) [.69, .90] .70* (.08) [.56, .86]
 (d) R Scale .77* (.08) [.62, .93] .79* (.06) [.67, .90] .72* (.07) [.59, .86]
 (d) C+R Scale .84* (.07) [.71, .92] .82* (.05) [.72, .93] .73* (.08) [.58, .88]
 (d) START .93* (.03) [.86, .99] .92* (.03) [.86, .98] .86* (.06) [.74, .97]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .87* (.05) [.76, .97] .86* (.05) [.77, .95] .81* (.05) [.70, .91]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .92* (.04) [.84, .99] .92* (.03) [.86, .99] .86* (.06) [.74, .99]
 (d) DRS .79* (.06) [.67, .91] .77* (.05) [.66, .87] .68* (.07) [.53, .82]
Any aggression            
 (s) H Scale .59 (.08) [.43, .75] .63 (.07) [.49, .77] .64* (.07) [.51, .77]
 (s) PCL-R .60 (.08) [.44, .77] .65* (.07) [.52, .78] .66* (.07) [.53, .79]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .85* (.05) [.75, .95] .85* (.04) [.77, .94] .80* (.05) [.70, .90]
 (d) C Scale .89* (.05) [.80, .99] .85* (.05) [.76, .94] .78* (.06) [.66, .90]
 (d) R Scale .83* (.07) [.70, .95] .80* (.06) [.69, .91] .76* (.06) [.64, .87]
 (d) C+R Scale .89* (.05) [.78, .99] .86* (.04) [.77, .95] .79* (.06) [.68, .91]
 (d) START .95* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .94* (.03) [.89, .99] .90* (.04) [.82, .98]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .89* (.04) [.80, .98] .89* (.04) [.82, .96] .86* (.04) [.78, .94]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .95* (.03) [.90, 1.00] .94* (.04) [.87, 1.00] .90* (.05) [.80, .99]
 (d) DRS .84* (.05) [.73, .94] .80* (.05) [.70, .90] .73* (.06) [.61, .86]

Note: (s) = static measure. (d) = dynamic measure. Boldface font denotes significance after FDR corrections.

*p < .05 .