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. 2016 Nov 28;24(3):410–427. doi: 10.1080/13218719.2016.1247640

Table 6.

Predictive accuracy of static and dynamic risk measures for inpatient aggression in the forensic group.

  Up to 1 month
Up to 3 months
Up to 6 months
Measure AUC (SE) 95% CI AUC (SE) 95% CI AUC (SE) 95% CI
Interpersonal violence            
 (s) H Scale .45 (.19) [.08, .82] .45 (.19) [.08, .82] .45 (.19) [.08, .82]
 (s) PCL-R .32 (.08) [.17, .48] .32 (.08) [.17, .48] .32 (.08) [.17, .48]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .88 (.08) [.72, 1.00] .88 (.08) [.72, 1.00] .88 (.08) [.72, 1.00]
 (d) C Scale .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00]
 (d) R Scale .94* (.04) [.86, 1.00] .94* (.04) [.86, 1.00] .94* (.04) [.86, 1.00]
 (d) C+R Scale .96* (.04) [.89, 1.00] .96* (.04) [.89, 1.00] .96* (.04) [.89, 1.00]
 (d) START .98* (.02) [.93, 1.00] .98* (.02) [.93, 1.00] .98* (.02) [.93, 1.00]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.92, 1.00]
 (d) DRS .93* (.05) [.84, 1.00] .93* (.05) [.84, 1.00] .93* (.05) [.84, 1.00]
Verbal threat            
 (s) H Scale .66 (.13) [.40, .91] .67 (.11) [.45, .89] .69 (.10) [.50, .88]
 (s) PCL-R .77 (.10) [.57, .97] .78* (.08) [.62, .95] .76* (.08) [.60, .91]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .87* (.08) [.71, 1.00] .90* (.05) [.80, 1.00] .82* (.08) [.67, .96]
 (d) C Scale .84* (.09) [.66, 1.00] .83* (.07) [.69, .97] .68 (.11) [.47, .89]
 (d) R Scale .88* (.10) [.67, 1.00] .89* (.06) [.77, 1.00] .82* (.07) [.67, .97]
 (d) C+R Scale .88* (.09) [.72, 1.00] .90* (.05) [.79, 1.00] .75* (.11) [.54, .95]
 (d) START .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .93* (.04) [.85, 1.00] .83* (.08) [.67, 1.00]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .92* (.05) [.83, 1.00] .86* (.06) [.75, .98]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .96* (.03) [.90, 1.00] .97* (.03) [.91, 1.00] .87* (.08) [.71, 1.00]
 (d) DRS .81* (.08) [.65, .97] .83* (.07) [.69, .96] .67 (.11) [.46, .88]
Any aggression             
 (s) H Scale .67 (.11) [.45, .90] .69 (.10) [.49, .89] .71* (.09) [.52, .89]
 (s) PCL-R .69 (.11) [.47, .91] .74* (.09) [.56, .91] .72* (.08) [.56, .89]
 (d) HCR-20 Total .91* (.07) [.78, 1.00] .94* (.04) [.86, 1.00] .86* (.07) [.73, .99]
 (d) C Scale .89* (.08) [.73, 1.00] .87* (.06) [.76, .99] .73* (.10) [.53, .93]
 (d) R Scale .91* (.09) [.74, 1.00] .93* (.05) [.83, 1.00] .86* (.07) [.73, .99]
 (d) C+R Scale .93* (.07) [.79, 1.00] .94* (.04) [.86, 1.00] .80* (.10) [.60, .99]
 (d) START 1.00* (.01) [.99, 1.00] .97* (.02) [.92, 1.00] .88* (.07) [.73, 1.00]
 (d) MHOAT-Risk .99* (.01) [.98, 1.00] .95* (.03) [.89, 1.00] .90* (.05) [.81, 1.00]
 (d) HoNOS-secure .99* (.01) [.96, 1.00] 1.00* (.00) [1.00, 1.00] .91* (.07) [.77, 1.00]
 (d) DRS .85* (.07) [.72, .99] .86* (.06) [.75, .98] .72* (.10) [.52, .92]

Note: (s) = static measure. (d) = dynamic measure. Boldface font denotes significance after FDR corrections.

*p < .05.