Table 7.
Predictive accuracy of static and dynamic risk measures for inpatient aggression in the civil group.
| Up to 1 month |
Up to 3 months |
Up to 6 months |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | AUC (SE) | 95% CI | AUC (SE) | 95% CI | AUC (SE) | 95% CI |
| Interpersonal violence | ||||||
| (s) H Scale | .81* (.08) | [.66, .97] | .85* (.06) | [.72, .97] | .78* (.09) | [.61, .95] |
| (s) PCL-R | .80 (.10) | [.59, 1.00] | .77* (.09) | [.59, .94] | .75* (.09) | [.58, .92] |
| (d) HCR-20 Total | .91* (.05) | [.80, 1.00] | .78* (.10) | [.59, .96] | .75* (.09) | [.56, .93] |
| (d) C Scale | .90* (.07) | [.76, 1.00] | .79* (.11) | [.58, 1.00] | .76* (.10) | [.56, .96] |
| (d) R Scale | .77 (.10) | [.57, .97] | .58 (.13) | [.33, .84] | .59 (.12) | [.36, .82] |
| (d) C+R Scale | .88* (.07) | [.74, 1.00] | .71 (.11) | [.49, .93] | .70 (.10) | [.50, .90] |
| (d) START | .95* (.04) | [.87, 1.00] | .83* (.08) | [.68, .99] | .84* (.07) | [.69, .98] |
| (d) MHOAT-Risk | .89* (.07) | [.75, 1.00] | .84* (.08) | [.69, 1.00] | .84* (.07) | [.69, .98] |
| (d) HoNOS-secure | .95* (.03) | [.89, 1.00] | .80* (.11) | [.58, 1.00] | .79* (.10) | [.59, .99] |
| (d) DRS | .86* (.07) | [.71, 1.00] | .69 (.11) | [.47, .92] | .68 (.10) | [.48, .89] |
| Verbal threat | ||||||
| (s) H Scale | .39 (.13) | [.14, .64] | .32 (.12) | [.09, .56] | .32 (.12) | [.09, .56] |
| (s) PCL-R | .48 (.13) | [.22, .73] | .45 (.12) | [.21, .68] | .45 (.12) | [.21, .68] |
| (d) HCR-20 Total | .73 (.10) | [.53, .92] | .69 (.10) | [.50, .88] | .69 (.10) | [.50, .88] |
| (d) C Scale | .90* (.05) | [.80, 1.00] | .85* (.07) | [.71, .99] | .85* (.07) | [.71, .99] |
| (d) R Scale | .64 (.11) | [.42, .87] | .66 (.10) | [.45, .86] | .66 (.10) | [.45, .86] |
| (d) C+R Scale | .81* (.09) | [.64, .98] | .79* (.08) | [.63, .95] | .79* (.08) | [.63, .95] |
| (d) START | .90* (.06) | [.78, 1.00] | .90* (.06) | [.79, 1.00] | .90* (.06) | [.79, 1.00] |
| (d) MHOAT-Risk | .76* (.10) | [.57, .95] | .75* (.09) | [.58, .93] | .75* (.09) | [.58, .93] |
| (d) HoNOS-secure | .87* (.06) | [.75, 1.00] | .86* (.06) | [.74, .98] | .86* (.06) | [.74, .98] |
| (d) DRS | .78* (.09) | [.60, .95] | .76* (.09) | [.59, .93] | .76* (.09) | [.59, .93] |
| Any aggression | ||||||
| (s) H Scale | .51 (.12) | [.27, .74] | .58 (.10) | [.37, .78] | .54 (.10) | [.34, .75] |
| (s) PCL-R | .55 (.12) | [.32, .78] | .59 (.10) | [.39, .78] | .59 (.10) | [.40, .78] |
| (d) HCR-20 Total | .79* (.08) | [.63, .95] | .74* (.08) | [.58, .90] | .73* (.08) | [.57, .89] |
| (d) C Scale | .90* (.05) | [.80, 1.00] | .84* (.07) | [.69, .98] | .82* (.07) | [.68, .97] |
| (d) R Scale | .72 (.10) | [.52, .91] | .63 (.10) | [.43, .83] | .64 (.10) | [.44, .83] |
| (d) C+R Scale | .84* (.07) | [.70, .98] | .76* (.08) | [.60, .92] | .76* (.08) | [.60, .92] |
| (d) START | .94* (.04) | [.85, 1.00] | .92* (.05) | [.82, 1.00] | .92* (.04) | [.84, 1.00] |
| (d) MHOAT-Risk | .80* (.08) | [.64, .96] | .83* (.07) | [.70, .96] | .83* (.07) | [.70, .96] |
| (d) HoNOS-secure | .93* (.05) | [.83, 1.00] | .87* (.07) | [.73, 1.00] | .87* (.07) | [.74, 1.00] |
| (d) DRS | .81* (.08) | [.66, .97] | .73* (.09) | [.57, .90] | .73* (.08) | [.57, .90] |
Note: (s) = static measure. (d) = dynamic measure. Boldface font denotes significance after FDR corrections.
*p < .05.