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. 2019 Oct 28;19:902. doi: 10.1186/s12879-019-4540-z

Table 3.

Posterior estimates and their 95% credible intervals (CI) for the random effects models with covariates

Variables 1b (95% Cr. I) 2b (95% Cr. I) 3b (95% Cr. I)
Fixed effects:
 (Intercept) 2.81e02 (9.49, 8.35e03)a 2.28e02 (7.69, 6.77e03)a 2.02e02 (7.54, 5.43e03)a
 Year 0.94 (0.92, 0.97)a
 Poverty 3.49 (0.96, 16.95) 3.49 (0.72, 16.95) 3.74 (0.81, 17.46)
 Infrastructure 4.90 (1.40, 17.29)a 4.90 (1.40, 17.29) 5.75 (1.65, 19.89)a
 Health 2.56 (0.56, 11.59) 2.56 (0.56, 11.59) 1.99 (0.44, 8.94)`
 Education 0.36 (0.07, 1.86) 0.36 (0.07, 0.53)a 0.40 (0.08, 1.99)
 Gender 4.71e−04 (8.36e−05, 2.63e−03)a 4.67e−04 (8.36e−05, 2.63e−03)a 5.81e−04 (1.06e−04, 3.18e−03)a
 Dependency 0.94 (0.33, 2.69) 0.94 (0.32, 2.69) 1.01 (0.36, 2.83)
 Gini 1.15 (0.21, 6.23) 1.15 (0.21, 6.23) 0.79 (0.14, 4.35)
Random effects
 Spatial
  Structured  (τυ) 4.75e02 (1.63e01, 3.91e03) 4.89e02 (1.63e01, 4.00e03) 3.22e03 (6.70e02, 1.09e04)
  Unstructured  (τν) 8.30 (5.21, 1.27e01) 8.30 (5.21, 1.77e01) 8.96 (5.55, 1.39e01)
 Temporal
  Structured  (τγ) 2.06e02 (6.71e01, 5.31e02) 1.08e04 (7.24e03, 5.95e04)
  Unstructured  (τϕ) 1.18e04 (9.45e02, 6.42e04) 5.57e02 (1.46e02, 2.02e03)
 Spatiotemporal
  Interaction  (τδ) 3.50e03 (1.04e03, 9.47e03) 6.63e01 (5.39e01, 8.14e01)
 DIC 5162.85 5162.69 3100.07
 pD 55.18 55.19 268.09
 Md (Ď) 5107.66 5107.50 2831.98

a- significant fixed effects