Table 3.
Variables | 1b (95% Cr. I) | 2b (95% Cr. I) | 3b (95% Cr. I) |
---|---|---|---|
Fixed effects: | |||
(Intercept) | 2.81e02 (9.49, 8.35e03)a | 2.28e02 (7.69, 6.77e03)a | 2.02e02 (7.54, 5.43e03)a |
Year | 0.94 (0.92, 0.97)a | – | – |
Poverty | 3.49 (0.96, 16.95) | 3.49 (0.72, 16.95) | 3.74 (0.81, 17.46) |
Infrastructure | 4.90 (1.40, 17.29)a | 4.90 (1.40, 17.29) | 5.75 (1.65, 19.89)a |
Health | 2.56 (0.56, 11.59) | 2.56 (0.56, 11.59) | 1.99 (0.44, 8.94)` |
Education | 0.36 (0.07, 1.86) | 0.36 (0.07, 0.53)a | 0.40 (0.08, 1.99) |
Gender | 4.71e−04 (8.36e−05, 2.63e−03)a | 4.67e−04 (8.36e−05, 2.63e−03)a | 5.81e−04 (1.06e−04, 3.18e−03)a |
Dependency | 0.94 (0.33, 2.69) | 0.94 (0.32, 2.69) | 1.01 (0.36, 2.83) |
Gini | 1.15 (0.21, 6.23) | 1.15 (0.21, 6.23) | 0.79 (0.14, 4.35) |
Random effects | |||
Spatial | |||
Structured (τυ) | 4.75e02 (1.63e01, 3.91e03) | 4.89e02 (1.63e01, 4.00e03) | 3.22e03 (6.70e02, 1.09e04) |
Unstructured (τν) | 8.30 (5.21, 1.27e01) | 8.30 (5.21, 1.77e01) | 8.96 (5.55, 1.39e01) |
Temporal | |||
Structured (τγ) | – | 2.06e02 (6.71e01, 5.31e02) | 1.08e04 (7.24e03, 5.95e04) |
Unstructured (τϕ) | – | 1.18e04 (9.45e02, 6.42e04) | 5.57e02 (1.46e02, 2.02e03) |
Spatiotemporal | |||
Interaction (τδ) | 3.50e03 (1.04e03, 9.47e03) | – | 6.63e01 (5.39e01, 8.14e01) |
DIC | 5162.85 | 5162.69 | 3100.07 |
pD | 55.18 | 55.19 | 268.09 |
Md (Ď) | 5107.66 | 5107.50 | 2831.98 |
a- significant fixed effects