Fig. 1.

Trajectories of early labor market exit (y-axis, probability of exit) between 2004 and 2013 (x-axis) employees aged 25–38 years at baseline: Trajectory 1 = Temporary exit trajectory (83.6%), Trajectory 2 = Permanent exit trajectory (16.4%). Trajectory 1 and 2 are the averages and Trajectory 1_e and Trajectory 2_e are the model estimates with their 95% confidence intervals (not visible/very narrow due to very large numbers). Trajectory 3 = continuously employed, is on the x-axis, as their probability of exit is 0.00 throughout the follow-up