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. 2019 Aug 7;74(9):875–881. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2018-212740

Table 1.

Parameters for the best fitting segmented regression models of smoking prevalence, ever-smoking prevalence in young adults and quit ratios in Great Britain between 1973 and 2016

Smoking prevalence Ever-smoking prevalence in young adults Quit ratios
Β 95% CI P value Β 95% CI P value Β 95% CI P value
Intercept 47.548 45.951 49.144 <0.001 57.667 56.466 58.867 <0.001 25.573 22.698 28.448 <0.001
Time −1.456 −1.719 −1.193 <0.001 −1.608 −1.840 −1.376 <0.001 1.868 1.399 2.336 <0.001
Time2 0 to BP1 0.026 0.017 0.035 <0.001 0.050 0.041 0.059 <0.001 −0.039 −0.055 −0.023 <0.001
Time2 BP1 to BP2 −0.191 −0.345 −0.037 0.017 −0.168 −0.196 −0.139 <0.001 0.059 0.023 0.095 0.002
Time2 BP2 to BP3 0.167 0.009 0.342 0.062 0.140 0.103 0.177 <0.001 0.527 0.080 0.975 0.023

Smoking prevalence, quadratic model with two breakpoints in 2000 (year 27) and 2001 (year 28); ever-smoking prevalence in young adults, quadratic model with two breakpoints in 1994 (year 21) and 2002 (year 29); quit ratio, quadratic model with two breakpoints in 1996 (year 23) and 2013 (year 40).