Table 3.
Estimates of rotavirus hospitalizations and deaths in African countries in 2016 with hypothetical full introduction of rotavirus vaccination into national immunization programs.
| Rotavirus hospitalizations | Rotavirus deaths | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected No. | Prevented No. | Prevented % | Expected No. | Prevented No. | Prevented % | |
| All Countries (n = 54) | 586,568 (524,970–645,674) | 273,619 (227,260–318,102) | 47 (43–49) | 122,889 (120,370–125,305) | 47,741 (42,822–52,462) | 39 (36–42) |
| Countries introducing rotavirus vaccination by 2014 end (n = 29) | 294,044 (262,947–321,736) | 134,714 (112,321–154,654) | 46 (43–48) | 55,168 (53,938–56,263) | 20,986 (18,924–22,822) | 38 (35–41) |
| Additional reductions in introducing countries with benchmark vaccination coverage (n = 29) | 20,082 (17,234 – 23,037) | 6.9 (6.6–7.1) | 4473 (4126–4832) | 8.1 (7.7–8.6) | ||
| Countries without rotavirus vaccination by 2014 end (n = 25) | 293,801 (265,942–320,279) | 119,594 (100,350–137,883) | 41 (37–43) | 67,771 (66,594–68,890) | 22,351 (20,065–24,523) | 33 (30–36) |
| Child mortality rate strata | ||||||
| High (n = 27) | 314,681 (282,126–342,696) | 110,958 (89,207–129,676) | 35 (32–38) | 95,366 (93,422–97,040) | 31,642 (27,837–34,916) | 33 (30–36) |
| Low (n = 27) | 271,218 (242,972–296,954) | 162,046 (138,063–183,897) | 60 (57–62) | 27,520 (26,973–28,018) | 16,095 (15,033–17,063) | 58 (56–61) |
| Subregion | ||||||
| Eastern (n = 18) | 202,004 (181,579–221,192) | 110,467 (93,870–126,059) | 55 (52–57) | 32,490 (31,902–33,042) | 16,181 (14,989–17,300) | 50 (47–52) |
| Western (n = 16) | 186,832 (169,496–206,337) | 66,591 (55,217–79,389) | 36 (33–38) | 52,223 (51,383–53,167) | 17,009 (15,282–18,953) | 33 (30–36) |
| Northern (n = 6) | 87,901 (79,029–97,421) | 51,713 (43,904–60,093) | 59 (56–62) | 4757 (4611–4914) | 2395 (2151–2656) | 50 (47–54) |
| Central (n = 9) | 86,376 (77,141–95,172) | 32,468 (26,004–38,624) | 38 (34–41) | 31,927 (31,177–32,642) | 11,137 (9740–12,468) | 35 (31–38) |
| Southern (n = 5) | 18,892 (17,142–20,695) | 9183 (7942–10,463) | 49 (46–51) | 1301 (1259–1345) | 632 (581–684) | 49 (46–51) |
| World Bank Income Group | ||||||
| Low (n = 26) | 283,313 (254,174–310,547) | 132,893 (110,735–153,602) | 47 (44–49) | 61,426 (60,248–62,527) | 25,008 (22,559–27,297) | 41 (37–44) |
| Lower-middle (n = 17) | 247,727 (222,802–274,461) | 112,563 (94,040–132,429) | 45 (42–48) | 49,962 (49,048–50,942) | 18,523 (16,696–20,482) | 37 (34–40) |
| Upper-middle (n = 9) | 52,579 (47,171–57,938) | 26,238 (22,127–30,311) | 50 (47–52) | 11,328 (10,982–11,669) | 4019 (3536–4497) | 35 (32–39) |
| High (n = 2) | 435 (390–474) | 59 (49–69) | 14 (13–15) | 77 (75–78) | 8 (7–9) | 10 (9–11) |
| GAVI eligibility | ||||||
| Yes (n = 40) | 492,756 (445,651–542,888) | 216,980 (182,355–253,831) | 44 (41–47) | 119,622 (117,436–121,949) | 45,644 (41,324–50,241) | 38 (35–41) |
| No (n = 14) | 89,671 (80,233–98,262) | 53,584 (45,562–60,886) | 60 (57–62) | 3078 (2982–3165) | 1725 (1592–1847) | 56 (53–58) |
Estimates presented as median (interquartile range).