Table 2.
Modelling results
| Model 1 panel, random effects |
Model 2 Bayesian |
Model 3 M2 + random parameters |
Model 4 M3 + error scaling with t-Student |
Model 5 M4 + religion scaling |
Final model M5 + DCE, censoring |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Const. | 0.005 (− 0.010; 0.019) | Not used | Not used | Not used | Not used | Not used |
| MO2 | 0.021 (0.002; 0.039) | 0.023 (0.001; 0.044) | 0.058 (0.013; 0.073) | 0.017 (0.014; 0.022) | 0.019 (0.014; 0.023) | 0.025 (0.020; 0.029) |
| MO3 | 0.012 (−0.007; 0.031) | 0.016 (0.000; 0.036) | 0.077 (0.021; 0.094) | 0.015 (0.005; 0.026) | 0.016 (0.005; 0.028) | 0.034 (0.026; 0.042) |
| MO4 | 0.098 (0.077; 0.118) | 0.101 (0.074; 0.129) | 0.159 (0.071; 0.181) | 0.101 (0.085; 0.116) | 0.107 (0.090; 0.124) | 0.126 (0.113; 0.141) |
| MO5 | 0.262 (0.238; 0.285) | 0.263 (0.239; 0.289) | 0.303 (0.271; 0.330) | 0.251 (0.228; 0.274) | 0.267 (0.242; 0.293) | 0.314 (0.286; 0.342) |
| SC2 | 0.030 (0.014; 0.046) | 0.037 (0.015; 0.059) | 0.015 (0.003; 0.087) | 0.029 (0.024; 0.034) | 0.031 (0.026; 0.036) | 0.031 (0.027; 0.036) |
| SC3 | 0.038 (0.017; 0.059) | 0.042 (0.014; 0.071) | 0.005 (0.000; 0.119) | 0.037 (0.028; 0.047) | 0.040 (0.029; 0.050) | 0.047 (0.040; 0.055) |
| SC4 | 0.122 (0.098; 0.146) | 0.116 (0.089; 0.143) | 0.042 (0.027; 0.180) | 0.108 (0.094; 0.123) | 0.115 (0.099; 0.131) | 0.111 (0.099; 0.123) |
| SC5 | 0.276 (0.254; 0.298) | 0.269 (0.244; 0.295) | 0.242 (0.193; 0.268) | 0.258 (0.237; 0.282) | 0.273 (0.249; 0.299) | 0.264 (0.243; 0.286) |
| UA2 | 0.031 (0.014; 0.048) | 0.034 (0.011; 0.058) | 0.002 (0.000; 0.007) | 0.033 (0.026; 0.039) | 0.034 (0.028; 0.042) | 0.023 (0.019; 0.027) |
| UA3 | 0.032 (0.009; 0.054) | 0.041 (0.015; 0.067) | 0.005 (0.000; 0.014) | 0.050 (0.040; 0.060) | 0.053 (0.043; 0.063) | 0.040 (0.032; 0.048) |
| UA4 | 0.092 (0.070; 0.115) | 0.088 (0.062; 0.115) | 0.024 (0.010; 0.038) | 0.104 (0.091; 0.117) | 0.110 (0.095; 0.125) | 0.097 (0.087; 0.107) |
| UA5 | 0.186 (0.167; 0.206) | 0.183 (0.157; 0.209) | 0.180 (0.161; 0.201) | 0.180 (0.161; 0.200) | 0.190 (0.169; 0.212) | 0.205 (0.188; 0.224) |
| PD2 | 0.028 (0.012; 0.044) | 0.033 (0.012; 0.054) | 0.041 (0.028; 0.054) | 0.025 (0.021; 0.028) | 0.026 (0.022; 0.030) | 0.030 (0.026; 0.034) |
| PD3 | 0.034 (0.014; 0.053) | 0.035 (0.007; 0.063) | 0.053 (0.036; 0.071) | 0.030 (0.022; 0.039) | 0.032 (0.022; 0.041) | 0.050 (0.043; 0.058) |
| PD4 | 0.229 (0.208; 0.251) | 0.228 (0.204; 0.254) | 0.253 (0.224; 0.276) | 0.223 (0.208; 0.239) | 0.235 (0.217; 0.253) | 0.261 (0.244; 0.280) |
| PD5 | 0.467 (0.440; 0.494) | 0.473 (0.446; 0.499) | 0.490 (0.464; 0.518) | 0.492 (0.463; 0.520) | 0.519 (0.485; 0.555) | 0.575 (0.538; 0.613) |
| AD2 | 0.024 (0.006; 0.041) | 0.032 (0.010; 0.054) | 0.049 (0.015; 0.061) | 0.019 (0.016; 0.023) | 0.020 (0.017; 0.024) | 0.018 (0.015; 0.021) |
| AD3 | 0.034 (0.011; 0.056) | 0.033 (0.006; 0.058) | 0.085 (0.038; 0.101) | 0.037 (0.026; 0.049) | 0.039 (0.027; 0.052) | 0.029 (0.022; 0.037) |
| AD4 | 0.114 (0.094; 0.135) | 0.114 (0.088; 0.139) | 0.160 (0.116; 0.181) | 0.119 (0.106; 0.132) | 0.126 (0.113; 0.142) | 0.108 (0.097; 0.119) |
| AD5 | 0.224 (0.203; 0.244) | 0.226 (0.201; 0.251) | 0.176 (0.153; 0.231) | 0.211 (0.194; 0.229) | 0.223 (0.204; 0.243) | 0.232 (0.213; 0.252) |
| Deviance | 61.2% (R2 used instead) | 11,866 | −777 | −13,781 | −13,780 | −9215 |
| DIC | 11,886 | 2597 | −9704 | −9704 | −9215a | |
| PSRF | n.a. | All <1.01 | Maximum = 15 | All <1.01 | All <1.01 | All <1.01 |
| Maximum u (not 11111) | 0.983 | 0.984 | 0.998 | 0.985 | 0.984 | 0.982 |
| u (22222) | 0.862 | 0.841 | 0.834 | 0.877 | 0.870 | 0.873 |
| u (33333) | 0.847 | 0.833 | 0.775 | 0.830 | 0.821 | 0.800 |
| u (44444) | 0.340 | 0.352 | 0.361 | 0.345 | 0.307 | 0.296 |
| u (55555) | − 0.420 | − 0.415 | − 0.391 | − 0.392 | − 0.471 | − 0.590 |
| % states u < 0 | 2.85 | 2.88 | 2.69 | 2.78 | 4.26 | 6.66 |
| Dimension order | PD, SC, MO, AD, UA | PD, SC, MO, AD, UA | PD, MO, SC, UA, AD | PD, SC, MO, AD, UA | PD, SC, MO, AD, UA | PD, MO, SC, AD, UA |
| Levels consistency | MO3 < MO2 | MO3 < MO2 | SC3 < SC2 | MO3 < MO2 | MO3 < MO2 | Consistent |
AD anxiety/depression, DCE discrete choice experiment, DIC deviance information criterion, M model, MO mobility, n.a. PD pain/discomfort, PSRF potential scale reduction factor, SC self-care, u utility, UA usual activities
aFailed to calculate penalty in JAGS (“support of observed nodes is not fixed”)