Table 1.
Summary of posterior probabilities for regression coefficients
| Gender | Event | a | b | c | σ |
| Men | 50 m | 7.587 (7.447 to 7.752) |
0.0015 (0.0003 to 0.0026) |
0.0015 (0.0005 to 0.0026) |
0.0671 (0.0612 to 0.0730) |
| 100 m | 7.020 (6.874 to 7.162) |
0.0015 (0.0005 to 0.0025) |
−0.0004 (−0.0011 to 0.0001) |
0.0593 (0.0539 to 0.0650) |
|
| 200 m | 6.031 (5.937 to 6.131) |
0.0046 (0.0039 to 0.0054) |
−0.0035 (−0.0041 to −0.0029) |
0.0281 (0.0233 to 0.0336) |
|
| 400 m | 5.963 (5.844 to 6.071) |
0.0019 (0.0011 to 0.0027) |
−0.0013 (−0.00197 to −0.00074) |
0.0257 (0.0188 to 0.0329) |
|
| 800 m | 5.638 (5.486 to 5.716) |
0.0034 (0.0041 to 0.0026) |
−0.0032 (−0.0040 to −0.0024) |
0.0315 (0.0241 to 0.0390) |
|
| 1500 m | 5.468 (5.291 to 5.599) |
0.0031 (0.0020 to 0.0043) |
−0.0022 (−0.0031 to −0.0013) |
0.0502 (0.0448 to 0.0559) |
|
| Women | 50 m | 6.433 (6.163 to 6.699) |
0.0038 (0.0017 to 0.0057) |
−0.0007 (−0.0020 to 0.0002) |
0.0473 (0.0408 to 0.0558) |
| 100 m | 6.058 (5.940 to 6.132) |
0.0022 (0.0017 to 0.0031) |
0.0009 (0.0001 to 0.0017) |
0.0505 (0.0449 to 0.0563) |
|
| 200 m | 5.672 (5.602 to 5.751) |
0.0019 (0.0014 to 0.0025) |
0.0001 (−0.0003 to 0.0007) |
0.0254 (0.0202 to 0.0315) |
|
| 400 m | 5.203 (5.141 to 5.278) |
0.0037 (0.0031 to 0.0042) |
−0.0020 (−0.0025 to −0.0014) |
0.0119 (0.0053 to 0.0175) |
|
| 800 m | 4.833 (4.645 to 4.981) |
0.0059 (0.0048 to 0.0073) |
−0.0049 (−0.0060 to −0.0040) |
0.0542 (0.0488 to 0.0599) |
|
| 1500 m | 4.909 (4.624 to 5.100) |
0.0046 (0.0032 to 0.0064) |
−0.0044 (−0.0055 to −0.0031) |
0.0298 (0.0195 to 0.0407) |