Table 1.
Two-Generation Prospective Models and Unadjusted and Adjusted Retrospective Models based on Monte Carlo Simulation
1.1 Prospective Method |
1.2 Retrospective Method |
1.3 Adjusted Retrospective Method (weighting only) |
1.4 Adjusted Retrospective Method (weighting + zero fertility) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Fertility | ||||
f1 | 0.910 (0.012) | 1.909 (0.021) | 1.523 (0.012) | 0.911 (0.011) |
f2 | 1.656 (0.024) | 2.655 (0.034) | 2.047 (0.023) | 1.658 (0.023) |
Mobility * | ||||
0.207 (0.005) | 0.207 (0.005) | 0.207 (0.005) | 0.207 (0.005) | |
0.440 (0.007) | 0.440 (0.007) | 0.440 (0.007) | 0.440 (0.007) | |
The joint demographic and mobility effect | 0.541 (0.016) | 0.774 (0.026) | 0.586 (0.019) | 0.541 (0.016) |
Bias (ref. model 1.1) | -- | 0.233 | 0.045 | 0.000 |
Note: Figures in the parentheses are standard errors.
The mobility estimates are the same across all the models, because prospective and the retrospective data yield the same results.