Table 2.

Three-Generation Prospective Models and Unadjusted and Adjusted Retrospective Models based on Monte Carlo Simulation

	2.1 Prospective Method	2.2 Retrospective Method	2.3 Adjusted Retrospective Method (weighting only)	2.4 Adjusted Retrospective Method (weighting + zero fertility)
Fertility $f_{\left\{\text{G}2,\text{G}1\right\}}$
$f_{\left\{1,1\right\}}$	0.844 (0.014)	1.851 (0.025)	1.484 (0.015)	0.845 (0.014)
$f_{\left\{2,2\right\}}$	1.680 (0.026)	2.711 (0.040)	2.077 (0.025)	1.677 (0.026)
Mobility $p_{\text{G}3|\left\{\text{G}2,\text{G}1\right\}}$ *
$p_{2|\left\{1,1\right\}}$	0.162 (0.006)	0.162 (0.006)	0.162 (0.006)	0.162 (0.006)
$p_{2|\left\{2,2\right\}}$	0.530 (0.008)	0.530 (0.008)	0.530 (0.008)	0.530 (0.008)
The joint demographic and mobility effect $f_{\left\{2,2\right\}}{p}_{2|\left\{2,2\right\}}-f_{\left\{1,1\right\}}{p}_{2|\left\{1,1\right\}}$	0.754 (0.021)	1.138 (0.034)	0.861 (0.024)	0.753 (0.021)
Bias (ref. model 2.1)	--	0.384	0.107	−0.001

Note: Figures in the parentheses are standard errors.

^*The mobility estimates are the same across all the models, because the prospective and the retrospective data yield the same results.