Table 1.
Averaged projections of annual heat-related, cold-related and total temperature-related years of life lost from ischemic heart disease and percentage changes in the 2050s, 2070s for 19 global-scale climate change models under 3 representative concentration pathways compared with baseline 2006–2011, Tianjin, China
| Periods | Projection and Change (%) | RCP2.6 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heata | Coldb | Totalc | Heata | Coldb | Totalc | Heata | Coldb | Totalc | ||
| 2050s | Projection | 4702 | 4556 | 9258 | 4964 | 4410 | 9374 | 5995 | 4058 | 10,053 |
| Change (%) | 46.9% | −17.3% | 6.3% | 55.1% | −20.0% | 7.6% | 87.3% | −26.3% | 15.4% | |
| 2070s | Projection | 4567 | 4526 | 9102 | 5931 | 4072 | 10,003 | 8773 | 3271 | 12,044 |
| Change (%) | 43.0% | −17.8% | 4.5% | 85.3% | −26.1% | 14.9% | 174.2% | −40.6% | 38.3% | |
a, b, cPercentage change relative to annual baseline heat-related and cold-related, and total temperature-related years of life lost from ischemic heart disease is 3200 years, 5508 years, and 8708 years, respectively. The unit of years of life lost projection is year