Table 3. Demographic parameter estimates from the multi-population analysis with IMa3.
Most probable estimate (MPE) and 95% confidence intervals for effective population size (q0−12, individuals) and divergence time (t0−5, years). The posterior probabilities for all 42 different population migration rate (2Nm) parameters either rose asymptotically as 2Nm approached zero or broadly overlapped with and are therefore not shown.
| Parameter | Description | MPE | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| q0 | Population size: KOD | 8,448 | 0–820,361 |
| q1 | Population size: COR | 280,391 | 98,063–985,063 |
| q2 | Population size: JUN | 22,380 | 4,319–702,427 |
| q3 | Population size: PET | 80,966 | 20,750–565,946 |
| q4 | Population size: STA | 209,734 | 73,012–741,743 |
| q5 | Population size: KHO | 92,821 | 31,458–268,365 |
| q6 | Population size: ERI | 242,740 | 106,389–628,344 |
| q7 | Ancestral population size: KOD & COR | 9,714 | 0–779,262 |
| q8 | Ancestral population size: KOD, COR, & JUN | 11,258 | 0–664,233 |
| q9 | Ancestral population size: KOD, COR, JUN, & PET | 46,603 | 1,503–334,038 |
| q10 | Ancestral population size: STA & KHO | 211,003 | 49,613–115,848 |
| q11 | Ancestral population size: KOD, COR, JUN, PET, STA, & KHO | 760,157 | 90,653–883,976 |
| q12 | Ancestral population size: KOD, COR, JUN, PET, STA, KHO, & ERI | 78,346 | 17,149–233,693 |
| t0 | Splitting time: KOD & COR | 7,970 | 0–36,661 |
| t1 | Splitting time: NEP (KOD, COR, & JUN) | 21,359 | 4,144–67,266 |
| t2 | Splitting time: NEP (KOD, COR, & JUN) from NWP (PET) | 46,863 | 19,447–107,434 |
| t3 | Splitting time: STA from KHO | 102,971 | 45,588–189,683 |
| t4 | Splitting time: STA & KHO from PET, KOD, COR, & JUN | 166,092 | 87,669–269,382 |
| t5 | Splitting time: ERI from STA, KHO, PET, KOD, COR, & JUN | 214,549 | 120,823–321,665 |