. 2019 Dec;109(12):1762–1769. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2019.305318

TABLE 3—

Adjusted Average Predicted Probabilities of First Pregnancy Intention and Resolution for Urbanicity by Race/Ethnicity: United States, 1995–2017

	Ages 15–19 Years (n = 5233), PP (95% CI)
	Intended, Birth	Unintended, Birth	Unintended, Abortion	Else
Non-Hispanic White
Urban	0.176 (0.140, 0.212)	0.460 (0.419, 0.500)	0.152 (0.121, 0.182)	0.213 (0.171, 0.255)
Suburban	0.173 (0.142, 0.203)	0.471 (0.432, 0.511)	0.146 (0.120, 0.173)	0.209 (0.175, 0.243)
Rural	0.204 (0.161, 0.247)	0.535^a (0.488, 0.582)	0.069^a (0.040, 0.098)	0.192 (0.155, 0.228)
Non-Hispanic Black
Urban	0.153 (0.122, 0.183)	0.485 (0.440, 0.530)	0.197 (0.154, 0.240)	0.165 (0.125, 0.205)
Suburban	0.150 (0.118, 0.183)	0.497 (0.446, 0.549)	0.190 (0.145, 0.235)	0.162 (0.125, 0.199)
Rural	0.180 (0.132, 0.228)	0.576^a^,^b (0.517, 0.635)	0.092^a^,^c (0.050, 0.135)	0.151 (0.110, 0.192)
Hispanic
Urban	0.204 (0.165, 0.244)	0.533 (0.486, 0.580)	0.112 (0.082, 0.143)	0.150 (0.113, 0.187)
Suburban	0.201 (0.164, 0.237)	0.545 (0.498, 0.592)	0.108 (0.077, 0.139)	0.146 (0.108, 0.185)
Rural	0.229 (0.172, 0.285)	0.594^a (0.530, 0.658)	0.049^a (0.024, 0.073)	0.128 (0.088, 0.169)

Note. CI = confidence interval; PP = predicted probability. Adjusted average predicted probabilities estimated from the multivariable regression presented in Table 2. Model controlled for education level of respondent’s mother, age of respondent’s mother at first birth, whether lived with both biological or adoptive parents since birth, religious affiliation in which respondent was raised, whether respondent was unmarried at conception, age at interview, year of conception, and whether pregnancy occurred within 48 months of interview.

Source. National Survey of Family Growth, pooled pregnancy files from 2002, 2006–2010, 2011–2015, and 2015–2017.

^{^a}

Statistically significant (2-tailed P < .05) differences relative to pregnancies of urban women within the same race/ethnicity category.

^{^b}

Rural–urban gap in the probability of unintended birth is statistically significantly different from the rural–urban gap among White and Hispanic women.

^{^c}

Rural–urban gap in the probability of abortion is statistically significantly different from the rural–urban gap among White women.