Table 1.

MARS model forecasting results.

		Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	July	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Avg
1-day a-head	MBE	-39.86	106.66	-4.81	-32.55	35.60	-8.97	-0.70	38.81	22.19	20.11	3.64	-11.16	10.75
	RMSE	102.66	151.32	95.36	113.04	79.97	47.28	106.62	73.93	73.96	47.94	54.03	60.67	83.9
	MAE	70.45	106.66	59.65	50.96	58.69	39.21	63.36	50.34	53.94	37.30	42.60	45.42	56.55
2-day a-head	MBE	94.98	94.98	9.35	-33.91	41.11	-0.78	-13.19	-17.67	-10.45	2.98	1.56	-13.58	12.95
	RMSE	143.30	143.30	67.02	101.79	123.54	66.94	94.48	89.05	78.66	48.48	46.98	67.97	89.29
	MAE	96.36	96.36	40.61	47.35	92.94	50.14	53.15	60.38	58.70	35.49	36.46	49.83	59.81
3-day a-head	MBE	-19.38	80.80	-1.94	-23.12	-4.79	6.28	-14.09	-39.46	-13.04	9.91	17.22	-4.91	-0.54
	RMSE	100.85	118.81	63.86	80.08	141.42	74.00	92.84	86.39	84.55	47.19	58.75	59.48	84.02
	MAE	63.67	83.89	38.90	46.01	99.89	49.29	54.53	60.96	69.46	36.08	44.61	44.56	57.65
4-day a-head	MBE	13.90	75.20	-16.15	-23.58	7.64	8.75	6.24	-25.97	-9.08	19.07	20.59	21.62	8.19
	RMSE	110.73	119.00	66.26	79.30	125.15	78.60	82.41	80.12	91.54	48.01	61.49	63.75	83.86
	MAE	75.01	78.54	38.93	49.89	86.75	54.36	52.27	57.93	73.69	36.17	46.26	51.19	58.42
5-day a-head	MBE	5.24	69.29	-22.07	-15.47	6.48	15.14	-24.18	-18.33	-5.41	22.31	25.98	2.28	5.11
	RMSE	97.52	119.17	65.22	78.24	126.62	79.11	83.73	76.85	83.81	53.57	68.72	68.12	83.39
	MAE	65.15	74.39	36.98	53.53	85.68	58.45	54.86	57.27	65.35	40.44	49.90	51.51	57.79
6-day a-head	MBE	-75.85	68.42	-14.01	8.31	9.57	42.71	-36.27	-18.75	2.73	30.99	18.34	5.79	3.5
	RMSE	174.53	121.04	61.64	74.43	117.99	101.88	87.30	72.13	94.99	55.60	66.45	63.07	90.92
	MAE	114.77	74.84	36.96	52.40	81.99	72.66	61.28	52.09	64.29	43.24	49.24	47.25	62.58