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. 2019 Nov 13;367:l6090. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l6090

Table 1.

Detected cancers and PCCRC-3yr rate in relation to characteristics of study population and type of colonoscopy. Values are No (%) unless stated otherwise

Characteristic Colonoscopies with colorectal cancer diagnosed within three years PCCRC-3yr rate (%)
Total True positive False negative
Total 126 152 116 835 9317 7.4
Year of colonoscopy
2005-07 31 336 28 711 (25) 2625 (28) 8.4
2008-10 44 165 40 856 (35) 3309 (36) 7.5
2011-13 50 651 47 268 (40) 3383 (36) 6.7
Age at colonoscopy
≤60 22 185 20 731 (18) 1454 (16) 6.6
61-70 38 521 36 153 (31) 2368 (25) 6.1
71-80 42 833 39 479 (34) 3354 (36) 7.8
>80 22 613 20 472 (18) 2141 (23) 9.5
Sex
Male 73 459 68 344 (58) 5115 (55) 7.0
Female 52 693 48 491 (42) 4202 (45) 8.0
IMD income category
Most affluent 27 180 25 169 (22) 2011 (22) 7.4
2 28 331 26 246 (22) 2085 (22) 7.4
3 26 479 24 533 (21) 1946 (21) 7.3
4 23 857 22 078 (19) 1779 (19) 7.5
Least affluent 20 305 18 809 (16) 1496 (16) 7.4
Charlson comorbidity score
0 93 684 87 738 (75) 5946 (64) 6.3
1 21 576 19 590 (17) 1986 (21) 9.2
2 6438 5715 (5) 723 (8) 11.2
≥3 4454 3792 (3) 662 (7) 14.9
Inflammatory bowel disease
No 123 428 108 893 (98) 8348 (90) 6.8
Yes 2724 1756 (2) 968 (10) 35.5
Diverticular disease
No 94 437 88 813 (76) 5624 (60) 6.0
Yes 31 715 28 022 (24) 3693 (40) 11.6
Previous colorectal cancer
No 124 513 115 708 (99) 8805 (95) 7.1
Yes 1639 1127 (1) 512 (5) 31.2
Previous colonoscopy
No 105 972 100 541 (86) 5431 (58) 5.1
Yes 20 180 16 294 (14) 3886 (42) 19.3
Colonoscopy within BCSP
No 109 512 100 788 (86) 8724 (94) 8.0
Yes 16 640 16 047 (14) 593 (6) 3.6
Colonoscopy by independent provider
No 124 143 115 013 (98) 9130 (98) 7.4
Yes 2009 1822 (2) 187 (2) 9.3
Cancer characteristics
Stage:
 I 21 474 19 597 (17) 1877 (20) 8.7
 II 34 605 32 613 (28) 1992 (21) 5.8
 III 33 240 31 186 (27) 2054 (22) 6.2
 IV 13 564 12 252 (10) 1312 (14) 9.7
 Unknown 23 269 21 187 (18) 2082 (22) 8.9
Colonic location:
 Rectum 31 492 29 496 (25) 1996 (21) 6.3
 Distal colon 40 783 38 450 (33) 2333 (25) 5.7
 Proximal colon 27 383 25 143 (22) 2240 (24) 8.2
 Caecum 20 978 19 057 (16) 1921 (21) 9.2
 Colon NOS 5516 4689 (4) 827 (9) 15.0

BCSP=English NHS bowel cancer screening programme; IMD=index of multiple deprivation; NOS=not otherwise specified; PCCRC-3yr=post-colonoscopy colorectal cancer within three years of colonoscopy.