Table 3.

Differences in mean annual projected carbon fluxes compared to historical period for each land use and RCP scenario as simulated by four climate models (GCM)

LUC	RCP	GCM	ΔNPP	ΔRh	ΔNEP	ΔLULCC	ΔNECB
BAU	RCP 4.5	CanESM2	4.2	−4.3	8.6	−1	9.6
		CNRM‐CM5	15	0.3	14.7	2.3	12.3
		HadGEM2‐ES	−6.8	−10.6	3.8	−3	6.8
		MIROC5	−11.9	−14	2.1	−3.2	5.3
	RCP 8.5	CanESM2	18.1	6.3	11.9	1.2	10.7
		CNRM‐CM5	16	3.4	12.6	1.4	11.2
		HadGEM2‐ES	−7.1	−7	−0.1	−3.4	3.3
		MIROC5	−12.2	−11.1	−1.1	−4.9	3.8
High	RCP 4.5	CanESM2	5.5	−4.7	10.3	0.9	9.3
		CNRM‐CM5	16.7	0	16.6	4.5	12.2
		HadGEM2‐ES	−5.6	−11	5.4	−1.1	6.5
		MIROC5	−10.8	−14.4	3.6	−1.5	5.1
	RCP 8.5	CanESM2	19.6	5.9	13.8	3.3	10.4
		CNRM‐CM5	17.5	3	14.5	3.6	10.9
		HadGEM2‐ES	−5.7	−7.3	1.6	−1.4	3.1
		MIROC5	−11.2	−11.5	0.3	−3.2	3.5
Medium	RCP 4.5	CanESM2	5.2	−3.7	9	−1.3	10.3
		CNRM‐CM5	16.5	1.2	15.3	2	13.3
		HadGEM2‐ES	−5.8	−10	4.2	−3.2	7.4
		MIROC5	−10.9	−13.4	2.5	−3.5	5.9
	RCP 8.5	CanESM2	19.6	7.2	12.4	0.9	11.5
		CNRM‐CM5	17.5	4.3	13.3	1.2	12
		HadGEM2‐ES	−6	−6.3	0.3	−3.5	3.8
		MIROC5	−11.4	−10.5	−0.9	−5.2	4.3
Low	RCP 4.5	CanESM2	7.1	−1.9	9.1	−2.3	11.3
		CNRM‐CM5	18.3	3	15.3	0.9	14.4
		HadGEM2‐ES	−4	−8.3	4.3	−4.1	8.5
		MIROC5	−9.3	−11.8	2.5	−4.5	7
	RCP 8.5	CanESM2	21.5	9	12.5	0	12.5
		CNRM‐CM5	19.2	6.1	13.2	0	13.1
		HadGEM2‐ES	−4.3	−4.5	0.3	−4.5	4.8
		MIROC5	−9.8	−8.8	−0.9	−6.1	5.3

Abbreviations: BAU, business‐as‐usual; GCM, global climate model; LUC, land‐use change; LULCC, land use and land cover change; NECB, net ecosystem carbon balance; NPP, net primary production; RCP, representative concentration pathway; Rh, heterotrophic respiration; TEC, total ecosystem carbon.