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. 2019 Jul 10;105(22):1732–1740. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2019-315157

Table 2.

Cox model (univariable model) and time-dependent Cox model for the risk on neo-aortic valve regurgitation

Risk factors AR ≥moderate (n=33) AR ≥mild (n=111)
Events/total HR (95% CI) P value Events/total HR (95% CI) P value
Morphological subtype 0.02 0.009
 TGA-IVS* 17/230 Ref (1) 65/230 Ref (1)
  TGA-VSD 10/89 2.01 (0.92 to 4.38) 0.08 32/89 1.71 (1.08 to 2.71) 0.02
  DORV-SP-VSD 6/26 3.55 (1.38 to 9.15) 0.01 14/26 2.28 (1.21 to 4.28) 0.01
Gender
 Male† 26/228 Ref (1) 72/228 Ref (1)
  Female 7/117 0.49 (0.21 to 1.17) 0.11 39/117 1.03 (0.67 to 1.58) 0.89
Pulmonary valve
 Tricuspid‡ 31/324 Ref (1) 105/324 Ref (1)
  Bicuspid 2/21 1.16 (0.25 5.48) 0.85 5/21 0.89 (0.34 to 2.30) 0.49
Left ventricular OTO
 No§ 33/333 Ref (1) 106/333 Ref (1)
  Yes 0/12 N/A N/A 5/12 1.25 (0.48 to 3.25) 0.65
Previous PAB
 No¶ 31/327 Ref (1) 103/327 Ref (1)
  Yes 2/18 2.02 (0.48 to 8.46) 0.34 8/18 1.94 (0.87 to 4.33) 0.11
Age ASO ≥6 months
 No** 32/333 Ref (1) 104/333 Ref (1)
  Yes 1/12 0.83 (0.09 to 7.55) 0.87 7/12 2.97 (1.10 to 8.04) 0.03
Time-dependent Cox AR ≥moderate AR ≥mild
Diameter increase UV/MV HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value
Annulus (per mm) UV 1.14 (1.04 to 1.25) 0.004 1.04 (0.98 to 1.10) 0.16
MV 1.09 (0.99 to 1.21)‡‡ 0.09 1.03 (0.97 to 1.09)† † 0.31
Root (per mm) UV 1.12 (1.05 to 1.21) 0.001 1.04 (1.00 to 1.10) 0.07
MV 1.09 (1.01 to 1.17)‡‡ 0.04 1.04 (0.99 to 1.09)† † 0.1
STJ (per mm) UV 1.06 (0.94 to 1.18) 0.35 0.99 (0.93 to 1.06) 0.88
MV 1.04 (0.93 to 1.15)‡‡ 0.52 0.99 (0.93 to 1.06)† † 0.84

Bold refers to the statistically significant p values.

Reference categories of covariate.

*Morphological subtype ‘TGA-IVS’.

†Male sex.

‡Tricuspid pulmonary valve.

§No left ventricular outflow tact obstruction.

¶No previous PAB.

**Age ASO <6 months.

††Multivariable analysis adjusted for morphological subtype, gender, pulmonary valve, previous PAB and age ASO ≥6 months of age.

‡‡Multivariable analysis adjusted for morphological subtype and gender.

AR, neo-aortic valve regurgitation; ASO, arterial switch operation; DORV-SP-VSD, double outlet right ventricle with subpulmonary ventricular septal defect; HR, Hazard Ratio; IVS, intact ventricular septum; MV, multivariable analysis; N/A, not applicable; OTO, outflow tract obstruction; PAB, pulmonary artery banding; STJ, sinotubular junction; TGA, transposition of the great arteries; UV, univariable analysis; VSD, ventricular septal defect.