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. 2019 Nov 13;4(6):e001679. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001679

Table 2.

Effect of health equity fund (HEF) on monthly utilisation of health facilities 2006–2013

Variables Health centres Referral hospitals
No of new consultation cases No of newborn delivery No of outpatient consultation No of inpatient cases No of newborn deliveries
HEF effect:
Underlying time trend (slope) 7.8 (7.0, 8.6) 1.5 (1.5, 1.6) 24.2 (10.2, 38.2) 6.4 (3.7, 8.9) −7.5 (−17.9, 2.9)
Level change at point of HEF introduction 88.3 (82.0, 94.6) 0.5 (0.4, 0.7) 1.2 (−69.0, 71.5) 38.6 (25.9, 51.2) 10.7 (−20.9, 42.4)
Slope change at the point of HEF introduction 3.7 (1.4, 5.9) −0.1 (−0.1, 0.0) 59.2 (43.8, 74.6) 29.4 (26.6, 32.3) 15.1 (4.8, 25.6)
Seasonal effect:
January REF REF REF REF REF
February 23.7 (−30.2, −17.2) 1.8 (−2.0, −1.7) −0.6 (−70.6, 69.4) 19.2 (−32.2, −6.2) 11.5 (−15.9, −7.1)
March 39.1 (−45.6, −32.6) 2.2 (−2.4, −2.0) −13.4 (−83.2, 56.5) 17.7 (−30.7, −4.7) 11.7 (−16.0, −7.4)
April 81.2 (−87.7, −74.7) 1.8 (−2.0, −1.7) −63.9 (−133.7, 5.9) 19.2 (−32.2, −6.2) 8.7 (−13.0, −4.4)
May 47.8 (−54.3, −41.3) 2.2 (−2.4, −2.0) −16.6 (−86.1, 52.8) −7.3 (−20.2, 5.7) 13.0 (−17.3, −8.6)
June 10.4 (3.9, 16.9) 2.5 (−2.7, −2.3) 39.5 (−30.3, 109.4) 22.3 (9.3, 35.4) 15.6 (−20.0, −11.4)
July 23.9 (17.5, 30.5) 3.0 (−3.2, −2.8) 86.6 (16.6, 156.5) 46.5 (33.4, 59.6) 15.7 (−20.1, −11.3)
August 19.8 (13.3, 26.3) 2.3 (−2.5, −2.1) 110.8 (41.0, 180.5) 39.1 (26.0, 52.1) 14.8 (−19.2, −10.5)
September 5.6 (−1.1, 11.9) 1.9 (−2.1, −1.7) 52.8 (−16.7, 122.3) 23.7 (10.7, 36.7) 7.3 (−11.6, −2.9)
October 72.6 (66.1, 79.1) 1.2 (−1.4, −0.9) 64.2 (−5.2, 133.7) 35.7 (22.7, 48.7) −1.4 (−5.7, 2.9)
November 6.4 (−0.1, 12.9) 0.9 (−1.1, −0.7) 8.4 (−51.2, 77.9) 19.4 (6.4, 32.3) −2.5 (−6.8, 1.8)
December 52.0 (−58.5, −45.5) 1.5 (−1.6, −1.3) 60.8 (−8.8, 130.3) −5.3 (−18.3, 7.8) −1.7 (−6.0, 2.5)
Concurrent policies (control variables):
With contracting 52.3 (44.9, 59.6) 0.7 (0.5, 0.9) 183.4 (32.1, 334.7) 22.0 (−9.8, 54.0) −37.2 (−76.7, 2.2)
With voucher 22.8 (17.4, 28.3) 1.6 (1.4, 1.7) −34.8 (−96.3, 26.7) 16.6 (5.7, 27.6) 10.7 (6.3, 15.0)
With Subo 16.6 (−99.9, 133.1) 43.3 (21.6, 65.1)
With GAVI −3.8 (−98.9, 91.4) 35.6 (17.6, 53.6) −4.7 (−13.7, 4.2)
With MWI 87.4 (−145.2, −29.6) 47.0 (−57.6, −36.4) 3.1 (−1.9, 8.0)

Note: bold denotes a significance level of 5%.

GAVI, Global Alliance for Vaccine Initiatives; MWI, Mid-Wife Incentive.