Table 2.
Variables | Health centres | Referral hospitals | |||
No of new consultation cases | No of newborn delivery | No of outpatient consultation | No of inpatient cases | No of newborn deliveries | |
HEF effect: | |||||
Underlying time trend (slope) | 7.8 (7.0, 8.6) | 1.5 (1.5, 1.6) | 24.2 (10.2, 38.2) | 6.4 (3.7, 8.9) | −7.5 (−17.9, 2.9) |
Level change at point of HEF introduction | 88.3 (82.0, 94.6) | 0.5 (0.4, 0.7) | 1.2 (−69.0, 71.5) | 38.6 (25.9, 51.2) | 10.7 (−20.9, 42.4) |
Slope change at the point of HEF introduction | 3.7 (1.4, 5.9) | −0.1 (−0.1, 0.0) | 59.2 (43.8, 74.6) | 29.4 (26.6, 32.3) | 15.1 (4.8, 25.6) |
Seasonal effect: | |||||
January | REF | REF | REF | REF | REF |
February | −23.7 (−30.2, −17.2) | −1.8 (−2.0, −1.7) | −0.6 (−70.6, 69.4) | −19.2 (−32.2, −6.2) | −11.5 (−15.9, −7.1) |
March | −39.1 (−45.6, −32.6) | −2.2 (−2.4, −2.0) | −13.4 (−83.2, 56.5) | −17.7 (−30.7, −4.7) | −11.7 (−16.0, −7.4) |
April | −81.2 (−87.7, −74.7) | −1.8 (−2.0, −1.7) | −63.9 (−133.7, 5.9) | −19.2 (−32.2, −6.2) | −8.7 (−13.0, −4.4) |
May | −47.8 (−54.3, −41.3) | −2.2 (−2.4, −2.0) | −16.6 (−86.1, 52.8) | −7.3 (−20.2, 5.7) | −13.0 (−17.3, −8.6) |
June | 10.4 (3.9, 16.9) | −2.5 (−2.7, −2.3) | 39.5 (−30.3, 109.4) | 22.3 (9.3, 35.4) | −15.6 (−20.0, −11.4) |
July | 23.9 (17.5, 30.5) | −3.0 (−3.2, −2.8) | 86.6 (16.6, 156.5) | 46.5 (33.4, 59.6) | −15.7 (−20.1, −11.3) |
August | 19.8 (13.3, 26.3) | −2.3 (−2.5, −2.1) | 110.8 (41.0, 180.5) | 39.1 (26.0, 52.1) | −14.8 (−19.2, −10.5) |
September | 5.6 (−1.1, 11.9) | −1.9 (−2.1, −1.7) | 52.8 (−16.7, 122.3) | 23.7 (10.7, 36.7) | −7.3 (−11.6, −2.9) |
October | 72.6 (66.1, 79.1) | −1.2 (−1.4, −0.9) | 64.2 (−5.2, 133.7) | 35.7 (22.7, 48.7) | −1.4 (−5.7, 2.9) |
November | 6.4 (−0.1, 12.9) | −0.9 (−1.1, −0.7) | 8.4 (−51.2, 77.9) | 19.4 (6.4, 32.3) | −2.5 (−6.8, 1.8) |
December | −52.0 (−58.5, −45.5) | −1.5 (−1.6, −1.3) | 60.8 (−8.8, 130.3) | −5.3 (−18.3, 7.8) | −1.7 (−6.0, 2.5) |
Concurrent policies (control variables): | |||||
With contracting | 52.3 (44.9, 59.6) | 0.7 (0.5, 0.9) | 183.4 (32.1, 334.7) | 22.0 (−9.8, 54.0) | −37.2 (−76.7, 2.2) |
With voucher | 22.8 (17.4, 28.3) | 1.6 (1.4, 1.7) | −34.8 (−96.3, 26.7) | 16.6 (5.7, 27.6) | 10.7 (6.3, 15.0) |
With Subo | – | – | 16.6 (−99.9, 133.1) | 43.3 (21.6, 65.1) | – |
With GAVI | – | – | −3.8 (−98.9, 91.4) | 35.6 (17.6, 53.6) | −4.7 (−13.7, 4.2) |
With MWI | – | – | −87.4 (−145.2, −29.6) | −47.0 (−57.6, −36.4) | 3.1 (−1.9, 8.0) |
Note: bold denotes a significance level of 5%.
GAVI, Global Alliance for Vaccine Initiatives; MWI, Mid-Wife Incentive.