|
Natural birth rate of humans (days) |
– |
171.073 |
21.619 |
49 |
|
Natural death rate of humans (days) |
– |
0.000034 |
0.000038 |
49 |
|
Transmission rate from infected humans to susceptible humans (days) |
0.01–0.1 |
0.041 (0.041–0.057) |
0.053 (0.047–0.057) |
19 |
|
Baseline value of transmission rate from mosquitoes to humans (days) |
0.03–0.75 |
0.141 (0.127–0.174) |
0.142 (0.126–0.156) |
50,51 |
|
Baseline value of transmission rate from humans to mosquitoes (days) |
0.09–0.75 |
0.517 (0.468–0.577) |
0.3 (0.235–0.319) |
50,51 |
|
Proportion of asymptomatic infections |
0.75–0.9 |
0.841 (0.841–0.853) |
0.857 (0.824–0.86) |
19,52 |
|
Relative human-to-human transmissibility of exposed to symptomatic humans |
0.2–0.9 |
0.75 (0.737–0.762) |
0.848 (0.842–0.855) |
19 |
|
Relative human-to-human transmissibility of asymptomatic to symptomatic humans |
0.2–0.8 |
0.491 (0.468–0.491) |
0.306 (0.306–0.371) |
19 |
|
Relative human-to-human transmissibility of convalescent to symptomatic humans |
0.2–0.8 |
0.451 (0.414–0.475) |
0.363 (0.338–0.382) |
19 |
|
Relative human-to-mosquito transmissibility of exposed to symptomatic humans |
0.2–0.7 |
0.429 (0.281–0.429) |
0.465 (0.421–0.494) |
19 |
|
Relative human-to-mosquito transmissibility of asymptomatic to symptomatic humans |
0.2–0.7 |
0.516 (0.42–0.537) |
0.586 (0.471–0.592) |
19 |
|
Recovery rate of asymptomatically infected humans (days) |
0.05–0.4 |
0.265 (0.256–0.279) |
0.279 (0.276–0.293) |
19 |
|
Recovery rate of symptomatically infected humans (days) |
0.2–0.5 |
0.395 (0.365–0.429) |
0.414 (0.405–0.427) |
53 |
|
Recovery rate of convalescent humans (days) |
0.01–0.07 |
0.041 (0.039–0.042) |
0.062 (0.058–0.063) |
54,55 |
|
Human incubation rate (days) |
0.1–0.5 |
0.191 (0.176–0.318) |
0.391 (0.391–0.458) |
53 |
|
Baseline value of mosquito birth rate (days) |
500–10000 |
9910 |
6699 |
Fitted |
|
Incubation rate in mosquitoes (days) |
0.08–0.125 |
0.099 (0.096–0.105) |
0.105 (0.102–0.106) |
51,56 |
|
Mosquito life span (days) |
7–21 |
7.9 (7.69–8.07) |
7.66 (7.66–7.81) |
51 |
|
Seasonality parameter |
– |
2.296 |
1.435 |
– |
|
Seasonality parameter |
– |
269.221 |
194.743 |
– |