Table A-3:

Cox proportional hazards models for ages 15−65 years: Determinants of in- and out-migration by sex and HDSS site − Southern Africa

	Agincourt HDSS − Mostly rural				Manhiςa HDSS − Rural
	In-migration		Out-migration		In-migration		Out-migration
	Male	Female	Male	Female	Male	Female	Male	Female
	Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval)
Calendar Year 2009	1.16***	1.03	1.24***	1.10***	1.23***	1.04	1.20***	1.02
	(1.09 − 1.24)	(0.97 − 1.09)	(1.17 − 1.32)	(1.04 − 1.16)	(1.15 − 1.31)	(0.98 − 1.11)	(1.13 − 1.28)	(0.96 − 1.08)
Ref: Calendar Year 2010	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Calendar Year 2011	1.08**	0.97	1.23***	1.16***	0.80***	0.90***	1.30***	1.11***
	(1.01 − 1.15)	(0.91 − 1.02)	(1.15 − 1.31)	(1.09 − 1.22)	(0.75 − 0.86)	(0.85 − 0.96)	(1.22 − 1.38)	(1.04 − 1.17)
Ref: Education No Formal	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Education Some Primary	0.81***	0.80***	0.88	1.15**	0.95	1.12***	0.97	1.37***
	(0.70 − 0.93)	(0.70 − 0.91)	(0.74 − 1.04)	(1.01 − 1.31)	(0.87 − 1.04)	(1.04 − 1.20)	(0.89 − 1.06)	(1.27 − 1.47)
Education Some	0.93	0.87**	0.96	1.09	0.71***	0.85***	0.65***	1.11**
Secondary	(0.82 − 1.05)	(0.78 − 0.97)	(0.82 − 1.12)	(0.97 − 1.23)	(0.64 − 0.79)	(0.78 − 0.94)	(0.59 − 0.72)	(1.01 − 1.22)
Wald Chi-square	439.1	1688	64.01	36.59	371.1	274.9	470.4	424.2
Log Likelihood	−36331	−49498	−41945	−58760	−38149	−48657	−42874	−50441
Subjects	19587	26933	19593	26943	23405	33312	23414	33330
Time at risk	36862	54320	36876	54352	49505	76621	49530	76669
Failures	5563	6959	6069	8042	5337	6364	5913	6602

^***p<0.01,

^**p<0.05,

^*p<0.1

All Wald Chi-square are significant at the 1 per 1000 level

Note: Unknown values of education not shown.