Table 4.
Multivariate performance of CT models
| Model | Complete cohort | Active treatment cohort | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | Gain in R2 | AUC (95% CI) | Gain in AUC | p value | R2 | Gain in R2 | AUC (95% CI) | Gain in AUC | p value | |
| 6-month mortality | ||||||||||
| Base | 0.708 | 0.943 (0.896–0.991) | 0.578 | 0.917 (0.847–0.987) | ||||||
| Base + Marshall | 0.739 | + 0.031 | 0.947 (0.902–0.992) | + 0.004 | 0.720 | 0.608 | + 0.030 | 0.911 (0.837–0.985) | − 0.006 | 0.749 |
| Base + Rotterdam | 0.753 | + 0.045 | 0.953 (0.911–0.995) | + 0.010 | 0.328 | 0.588 | + 0.010 | 0.914 (0.842–0.986) | − 0.003 | 0.719 |
| Base + Helsinki | 0.792 | + 0.084 | 0.963 (0.928–0.999) | + 0.020 | 0.220 | 0.668 | + 0.090 | 0.931 (0.868–0.993) | + 0.014 | 0.588 |
| Base + Stockholm | 0.741 | + 0.033 | 0.952 (0.909–0.994) | + 0.009 | 0.410 | 0.611 | + 0.033 | 0.919 (0.849–0.988) | + 0.002 | 0.933 |
| 6-month unfavorable outcome* | ||||||||||
| Base | 0.526 | 0.885 (0.806–0.964) | 0.405 | 0.823 (0.709–0.937) | ||||||
| Base + Marshall | 0.673 | + 0.147 | 0.933 (0.876–0.990) | + 0.048 | 0.099 | 0.594 | + 0.189 | 0.898 (0.813–0.983) | + 0.075 | 0.093 |
| Base + Rotterdam | 0.672 | + 0.146 | 0.930 (0.869–0.992) | + 0.045 | 0.124 | 0.590 | + 0.185 | 0.892 (0.802–0.982) | + 0.069 | 0.123 |
| Base + Helsinki | 0.619 | + 0.093 | 0.917 (0.846–0.988) | + 0.032 | 0.159 | 0.514 | + 0.109 | 0.876 (0.771–0.980) | + 0.053 | 0.121 |
| Base + Stockholm | 0.639 | + 0.112 | 0.927 (0.857–0.996) | + 0.042 | 0.130 | 0.545 | + 0.140 | 0.901 (0.808–0.994) | + 0.078 | 0.052 |
Differences in AUC were compared using the DeLong test. Base model: age + GCS motor score + pupil responsiveness. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; CT, computerized tomography; GOS, Glasgow Outcome Scale
*Defined as GOS 1–3; missing for 4 patients