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. 2019 Oct 28;161(12):2467–2478. doi: 10.1007/s00701-019-04074-1

Table 4.

Multivariate performance of CT models

Model Complete cohort Active treatment cohort
R2 Gain in R2 AUC (95% CI) Gain in AUC p value R2 Gain in R2 AUC (95% CI) Gain in AUC p value
6-month mortality
  Base 0.708 0.943 (0.896–0.991) 0.578 0.917 (0.847–0.987)
  Base + Marshall 0.739 + 0.031 0.947 (0.902–0.992) + 0.004 0.720 0.608 + 0.030 0.911 (0.837–0.985) − 0.006 0.749
  Base + Rotterdam 0.753 + 0.045 0.953 (0.911–0.995) + 0.010 0.328 0.588 + 0.010 0.914 (0.842–0.986) − 0.003 0.719
  Base + Helsinki 0.792 + 0.084 0.963 (0.928–0.999) + 0.020 0.220 0.668 + 0.090 0.931 (0.868–0.993) + 0.014 0.588
  Base + Stockholm 0.741 + 0.033 0.952 (0.909–0.994) + 0.009 0.410 0.611 + 0.033 0.919 (0.849–0.988) + 0.002 0.933
6-month unfavorable outcome*
  Base 0.526 0.885 (0.806–0.964) 0.405 0.823 (0.709–0.937)
  Base + Marshall 0.673 + 0.147 0.933 (0.876–0.990) + 0.048 0.099 0.594 + 0.189 0.898 (0.813–0.983) + 0.075 0.093
  Base + Rotterdam 0.672 + 0.146 0.930 (0.869–0.992) + 0.045 0.124 0.590 + 0.185 0.892 (0.802–0.982) + 0.069 0.123
  Base + Helsinki 0.619 + 0.093 0.917 (0.846–0.988) + 0.032 0.159 0.514 + 0.109 0.876 (0.771–0.980) + 0.053 0.121
  Base + Stockholm 0.639 + 0.112 0.927 (0.857–0.996) + 0.042 0.130 0.545 + 0.140 0.901 (0.808–0.994) + 0.078 0.052

Differences in AUC were compared using the DeLong test. Base model: age + GCS motor score + pupil responsiveness. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; CT, computerized tomography; GOS, Glasgow Outcome Scale

*Defined as GOS 1–3; missing for 4 patients