TABLE III.

Predicted maximum diameter and prediction error at different years in simulated observation cases. In each cell of the table, the former is the maximum diameter (cm) and the latter is the prediction error.

Year	Case 1a	Case 1b	Year	Case 2a	Case 2b	Case 3a	Case 3b
3.5	3.3712 / 0.0154	3.3694 / −0.0057	4.5	3.8760 / −0.0169	3.8716 / −0.0183	3.9102 / 0.0795	3.8460 / −0.0255
4.0	3.6258 / 0.0269	3.6318 / 0.0108	5.0	4.1844 / −0.0061	4.1740 / 0.0170	4.1816 / 0.0772	4.1142 / −0.0195
4.5	3.9222 / 0.0638	3.9330 / 0.0558	5.5	4.4886 / 0.0014	4.4704 / 0.0439	4.4650 / 0.0766	4.3930 / −0.0115
5.0	4.2362 / 0.1062	4.2450 / 0.1012	6.0	4.7412 / −0.0399	4.7162 / 0.0140	4.7658 / 0.0838	4.6898 / 0.0025
5.5	4.5256 / 0.1124	4.5332 / 0.1130	6.5	4.9026 / −0.1654	4.8992 / −0.0916	5.0830 / 0.1004	5.0040 / 0.0184
6.0	4.7690 / 0.0585	4.7616 / 0.0565	7.0	4.9586 / −0.4012	4.9956 / −0.3038	5.3910 / 0.1023	5.3074 / 0.0043
Log predictive likelihood	−215.6521	−188.9377		−987.0728	−1563.825	−87.39966	−108.842