Table 1.
Country (Year) references | Alert line status | Adverse fetal outcome | Percentage of alert line crossing | Prevalence of adverse fetal outcome | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Diagnostic odds ratio (95% CI) | J statistic (95% CI) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Present | Absent | ||||||||||
Senegal (1992)24 | Crossed* | 5 | 88 | 9.3 | 1.4% | 36% (16.3–61.2) | 91.1% (89.1–92.7) | 4.0 (1.93–8.31) | 0.71 (0.48–1.04) | 5.67 (1.86–17.29) | 26.8% (1.6– 52.0) |
Not crossed** | 9 | 898 | |||||||||
Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand (1994)10 | Crossed | 0 | 1532 | 23.8 | 0.0% | 0 (0–56.2) | 76.2% (75.2–77.2) | NA | 1.31 (1.3–1.3) | NA | –23.78% (−24.8 to −22.7) |
Not crossed | 3 | 4910 | |||||||||
South Africa (2006)26 | Crossed | 2 | 461 | 75.9 | 0.5% | 66.7% (20.6–93.9) | 24.1% (20.8–27.6) | 0.88 (0.39–1.96) | 1.39 (0.28– 6.91) | 0.63 (0.06–7.04) | −9.3% (−62.7 to 44.2) |
Not crossed | 1 | 146 | |||||||||
Nigeria (2008)28 | Crossed | 5 | 208 | 46.0 | 1.1% | 100% (56.6–100) | 54.6% (50.0–59.1) | 2.2 (1.99–2.43) | NA | NA | 54.6% (50.0– 59.1) |
Not crossed | 0 | 250 | |||||||||
Nigeria and Uganda (2018)32 | Crossed | 30 | 4133 | 49.0 | 0.6% | 61.2% (47.3–73.6) | 51.0% (50.0–52.1) | 1.25 (1.00–1.56) | 0.76 (0.53–1.08) | 1.65 (0.93–2.93) | 12.3% (−1.4 to 24.9) |
Not crossed | 19 | 4307 | |||||||||
Overall | |||||||||||
Fresh stillbirths | Crossed | 42 | 6422 | 38.0 | 0.4% | 56.8% (45.4–67.4) | 62.1% (61.3–62.8) | 1.50 (1.2–1.8) | 0.70 (0.5–0.9) | 2.15 (1.7–3.4) | 18.8% (7.5– 30.1) |
Not crossed | 32 | 10511 |
NA, not applicable.
*Did not separate fetal death occurring before admission; outcome unknown for five women who crossed the line and two macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.
**Outcome unknown for three women who did not cross the line and 12 macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.