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. 2019 Aug 18;126(13):1524–1533. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.15884

Table 1.

Diagnostic test accuracy of the alert line for adverse fetal outcomes (fresh stillbirths)

Country (Year) references Alert line status Adverse fetal outcome Percentage of alert line crossing Prevalence of adverse fetal outcome Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI) Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) Diagnostic odds ratio (95% CI) J statistic (95% CI)
Present Absent
Senegal (1992)24 Crossed* 5 88 9.3 1.4% 36% (16.3–61.2) 91.1% (89.1–92.7) 4.0 (1.93–8.31) 0.71 (0.48–1.04) 5.67 (1.86–17.29) 26.8% (1.6– 52.0)
Not crossed** 9 898
Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand (1994)10 Crossed 0 1532 23.8 0.0% 0 (0–56.2) 76.2% (75.2–77.2) NA 1.31 (1.3–1.3) NA –23.78% (−24.8 to −22.7)
Not crossed 3 4910
South Africa (2006)26 Crossed 2 461 75.9 0.5% 66.7% (20.6–93.9) 24.1% (20.8–27.6) 0.88 (0.39–1.96) 1.39 (0.28– 6.91) 0.63 (0.06–7.04) −9.3% (−62.7 to 44.2)
Not crossed 1 146
Nigeria (2008)28 Crossed 5 208 46.0 1.1% 100% (56.6–100) 54.6% (50.0–59.1) 2.2 (1.99–2.43) NA NA 54.6% (50.0– 59.1)
Not crossed 0 250
Nigeria and Uganda (2018)32 Crossed 30 4133 49.0 0.6% 61.2% (47.3–73.6) 51.0% (50.0–52.1) 1.25 (1.00–1.56) 0.76 (0.53–1.08) 1.65 (0.93–2.93) 12.3% (−1.4 to 24.9)
Not crossed 19 4307
Overall
Fresh stillbirths Crossed 42 6422 38.0  0.4%  56.8% (45.4–67.4) 62.1% (61.3–62.8) 1.50 (1.2–1.8) 0.70 (0.5–0.9) 2.15 (1.7–3.4) 18.8% (7.5– 30.1)
Not crossed 32 10511

NA, not applicable.

*Did not separate fetal death occurring before admission; outcome unknown for five women who crossed the line and two macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.

**Outcome unknown for three women who did not cross the line and 12 macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.