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. 2019 Dec 9;2019(12):CD013502. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013502

Summary of findings for the main comparison. Surgery compared to non‐operative treatment for people with full thickness rotator cuff tears.

Surgery compared to non‐operative treatment for people with full thickness rotator cuff tears
Patient or population: people with full‐thickness rotator cuff tears
 Setting: hospital
 Intervention: subacromial decompression and rotator cuff repair
 Comparison: non‐operative treatment (exercises with or without glucocorticoid injection)
Outcomes Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI) Relative effect
 (95% CI) № of participants
 (studies) Certainty of the evidence
 (GRADE) Comments
Risk with non‐operative treatment Risk with surgery
Pain (VAS)
 from 0 to 10, 0 is no pain
 follow‐up 12 months The mean pain was 1.61 MD 0.87 better
 (0.43 better to 1.30 better) 258
 (3 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 Moderate2 Surgery provides probably little or no benefit; absolute difference 9% better (4% better to 13% better)3; relative difference 16% better (8% better to 25% better)4
Functional outcome (Constant score) from 0 to 100, 100 is best)
 follow‐up 12 months The mean function was 72 points1 MD 5.98 better
 (2.43 better to 9.54 better) 269
 (3 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
 Low2,5 Surgery may have little or no effect; absolute difference 6% better (2% better to 10% better)3; relative difference 16% better (6% better to 25% better)3
Participant‐rated global assessment of treatment success at 12 months 873 per 1,000 943 per 1,000
 (838 to 1,000) RR 1.08
 (0.96 to 1.22) 110
 (1 RCT) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
 Low2,5 Number of participants reporting success may not differ; absolute difference 7% better (4% worse to 13% better); relative difference 8% better (4% worse to 22% better)4
Health‐related quality of life (SF‐36 mental component)
from 0‐100; 100 is best) follow‐up 12 months
The mean health‐related quality of life was 57.5 points1 MD 1.39 worse
 (4.49 worse to 1.89 better) 103
 (1 RCT) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
 Low2,5 Surgery may have little or no effect; absolute difference 1% worse (4% worse to 2% better)3; relative difference 2% worse (8% worse to 3% better)3
Adverse events One frozen shoulder No events No reliable estimate 103
 (1 RCT) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
 Very low2,5,6 We are uncertain about the risks of adverse events
Serious adverse events No events No events No reliable estimate   ⊕⊝⊝⊝
 Very low2,5,6 We are uncertain about the risks of serious adverse events
*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
 
 CI: Confidence interval; MD: mean difference; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RR: Risk ratio.
GRADE Working Group grades of evidenceHigh certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
 Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
 Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited, The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
 Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate. The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

1 Median value in the exercise groups at one year.

2 Downgraded one level due to risk of bias, due to potential for performance and detection biases.

3 We assumed the clinically important improvement was 1.5 points or 15% absolute improvement (Hao 2018) for pain; 8.3 points or 8% absolute improvement (Hao 2018) for function; and 10 points or 10% absolute improvement for health‐related quality of life.

4 Relative difference calculated relative to baseline in control group (i.e. absolute change (mean difference) divided by mean at baseline in the non‐operative group from Moosmayer 2010 (values were: 5.3 points on 0 to 10 point VAS pain; 38.4 points on 0 to 100 point Constant score and 57.3 in 0 to 100 point SF‐36 mental component score), and expressed as percentage for continuous outcomes. Relative difference calculated as 1‐RR and expressed as percentage for dichotomous outcomes.

5 Downgraded one level due to imprecision, as 95% CI included both a clinically important effect and a clinically unimportant effect, or had low event rates.

6 Downgraded again due to very serious imprecision (no events were reported and we are unable to estimate the risk)