Table 1.
Summary of Completed and Planned EPI Forecasting Challenge Designs as of August 2019
| Challenge Name | Health Outcome of Interest | Year(s) | Target(s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predict the Influenza Season Challenge | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2013–14 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, season duration |
| FluSight 2014–15 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2014–15 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| Dengue Forecasting Project | Dengue cases in Iquitos, Peru and San Juan, Puerto Rico | 2015 | Timing of peak incidence, maximum weekly incidence, total number of cases in a transmission season |
| FluSight 2015–16 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2015–16 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| FluSight 2016–17 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2016–17 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| FluSight 2017–18 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2017–18 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| State FluSight 2017–18 | ILI in the United States at the state/territory level | 2017–18 | Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| Influenza Hospitalizations 2017–18 | Influenza hospitalizations in the United States | 2017–18 | Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead |
| FluSight 2018–19 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2018–19 | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| State FluSight 2018–19 | ILI in the United States at the state/territory level | 2018–19 | Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| Influenza Hospitalizations 2018–19 | Influenza hospitalizations in the United States | 2018–19 | Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead |
| Aedes Challenge 2019 | Aedes aegypti or Ae. Albopictus (vectors of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever, and Zika viruses) | 2019 | Monthly presence of Aedes aegypti or Ae. albopictus |
| FluSight 2019–20 | ILI in the United States at the national/regional level | 2019–20 (future) | Season onset, peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| State FluSight 2019–20 | ILI in the United States at the state/territory level | 2019–20 (future) | Peak week, peak intensity, weekly ILI percent 1–4 weeks ahead |
| Influenza Hospitalizations 2019–20 | Influenza hospitalizations in the United States | 2019–20 (future) | Peak week, peek weekly hospitalization rate, weekly hospitalization rates 1–4 weeks ahead |